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2. Bundesliga

Stuttgart

S U U S U

3–0

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 45%

50%

40%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

65%

45%

Both score Ø 60%

65%

55%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

20 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 3

9 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 3. · Erzgebirge Aue 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	20	10	8	2	+16	38
2	Hamburg	20	10	7	3	+22	37
3	Stuttgart	20	10	5	5	+9	35
4	Heidenheim	21	9	7	5	+7	34
5	Greuther Furth	20	9	4	7	+6	31
6	Erzgebirge Aue	20	8	6	6	+2	30
7	Regensburg	20	8	5	7	+3	29
8	Osnabruck	20	7	6	7	+4	27
9	Holstein Kiel	20	7	6	7	+1	27
10	Sandhausen	21	6	9	6	+0	27
11	Darmstadt	21	5	11	5	-4	26
12	St Pauli	20	5	7	8	-2	22
13	Nurnberg	20	5	7	8	-9	22
14	Hannover	20	5	7	8	-9	22
15	Wehen	20	5	6	9	-13	21
16	Bochum	20	4	8	8	-6	20
17	Karlsruhe	20	4	8	8	-10	20
18	Dresden	21	4	5	12	-17	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	10	8	0	2	+13	24
2	Erzgebirge Aue	10	7	3	0	+11	24
3	Hamburg	9	7	1	1	+17	22
4	Heidenheim	11	6	3	2	+9	21
5	Greuther Furth	9	6	1	2	+6	19
6	St Pauli	11	5	3	3	+6	18
7	Osnabruck	10	5	2	3	+7	17
8	Regensburg	10	5	2	3	+2	17
9	Sandhausen	11	4	5	2	+2	17
10	Bochum	11	3	6	2	+2	15
11	Bielefeld	9	3	5	1	+4	14
12	Dresden	11	4	2	5	-2	14
13	Nurnberg	11	3	5	3	-5	14
14	Darmstadt	10	2	7	1	+1	13
15	Karlsruhe	10	3	3	4	-3	12
16	Holstein Kiel	9	2	4	3	-2	10
17	Hannover	10	1	6	3	-6	9
18	Wehen	10	2	3	5	-12	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	11	7	3	1	+12	24
2	Holstein Kiel	11	5	2	4	+3	17
3	Hamburg	11	3	6	2	+5	15
4	Heidenheim	10	3	4	3	-2	13
5	Hannover	10	4	1	5	-3	13
6	Darmstadt	11	3	4	4	-5	13
7	Regensburg	10	3	3	4	+1	12
8	Greuther Furth	11	3	3	5	+0	12
9	Wehen	10	3	3	4	-1	12
10	Stuttgart	10	2	5	3	-4	11
11	Sandhausen	10	2	4	4	-2	10
12	Osnabruck	10	2	4	4	-3	10
13	Nurnberg	9	2	2	5	-4	8
14	Karlsruhe	10	1	5	4	-7	8
15	Erzgebirge Aue	10	1	3	6	-9	6
16	Bochum	9	1	2	6	-8	5
17	St Pauli	9	0	4	5	-8	4
18	Dresden	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.