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2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
S S T U U
1–1
Full-time
Darmstadt
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,7
2,8
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
33%
22%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
72%
44%
Both score Ø 67%
78%
56%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

22 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 1
5 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Holstein Kiel 10. · Darmstadt 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bielefeld 19 10 7 2 +16 37
2 Stuttgart 19 10 4 5 +9 34
3 Hamburg 18 8 7 3 +17 31
4 Heidenheim 19 8 6 5 +6 30
5 Regensburg 19 8 5 6 +5 29
6 Erzgebirge Aue 19 8 5 6 +2 29
7 Greuther Furth 19 8 4 7 +4 28
8 Osnabruck 18 7 5 6 +6 26
9 Sandhausen 18 5 9 4 +1 24
10 Holstein Kiel 18 6 5 7 -1 23
11 St Pauli 19 5 6 8 -2 21
12 Darmstadt 18 4 9 5 -5 21
13 Hannover 19 5 6 8 -9 21
14 Bochum 19 4 8 7 -4 20
15 Karlsruhe 18 4 8 6 -7 20
16 Wehen 19 5 5 9 -13 20
17 Nurnberg 18 4 7 7 -8 19
18 Dresden 18 3 4 11 -17 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U ✓
3,59
B
4,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,07
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.