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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

S S T

0–0

Full-time

Stuttgart

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

10 Shots 12

0 Shots on target 5

2 Corners 7

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 5. · Stuttgart 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Stuttgart	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Osnabruck	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Karlsruhe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Erzgebirge Aue	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Greuther Furth	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Bielefeld	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Hannover	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Heidenheim	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Regensburg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Sandhausen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Holstein Kiel	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Darmstadt	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Dresden	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Nurnberg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Bochum	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	St Pauli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Wehen	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Bielefeld	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Osnabruck	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Regensburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Erzgebirge Aue	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sandhausen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Dresden	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Heidenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Wehen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Nurnberg	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Hannover	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Osnabruck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Erzgebirge Aue	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Karlsruhe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Regensburg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Darmstadt	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Holstein Kiel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.