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2. Bundesliga
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dresden Heidenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

17 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dresden 17. · Heidenheim 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Stuttgart 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Karlsruhe 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Erzgebirge Aue 3 2 0 1 +1 6
5 Bielefeld 3 1 2 0 +2 5
6 Hannover 3 1 1 1 +2 4
7 Heidenheim 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Regensburg 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Darmstadt 2 1 1 0 +2 4
10 Sandhausen 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Osnabruck 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Nurnberg 3 1 0 2 -4 3
14 Holstein Kiel 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Bochum 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 St Pauli 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Dresden 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Wehen 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,70
U
3,31
B
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.