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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Grotta

Stromsgodset

T T T T T

0–2

Full-time

Valerenga

T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 24%

20%

27%

Points per game

0,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

90%

45%

Both score Ø 62%

60%

64%

Average goals

3,7

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,00 xG 2,15

35% Possession 65%

4 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 8

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 8

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 15. · Valerenga 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	14	10	3	1	+21	+13.9	33
2	Rosenborg	13	6	5	2	+3	+6.0	23
3	Brann	12	7	2	3	+2	+10.4	23
4	Tromso	11	7	1	3	+5	+0.9	22
5	Bodo/Glimt	10	6	1	3	+14	+8.1	19
6	Sandefjord	10	6	0	4	+5	+1.3	18
7	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	5	2	+7	+5.0	17
8	Fredrikstad	12	5	2	5	+1	-2.3	17
9	Kristiansund	13	5	2	6	-2	-5.1	17
10	Molde	12	4	2	6	-1	+0.1	14
11	Bryne	11	4	2	5	-3	-0.1	14
12	Ham-Kam	11	3	3	5	-9	-5.5	12
13	KFUM Oslo	11	3	2	6	-3	-0.8	11
14	Valerenga	11	3	2	6	-4	-1.9	11
15	Stromsgodset	10	2	0	8	-9	-7.7	6
16	Haugesund	12	0	2	10	-27	-22.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	7	5	2	0	+13	+8.2	17
2	Sandefjord	5	5	0	0	+11	+4.6	15
3	Brann	7	4	2	1	+3	+6.7	14
4	Fredrikstad	7	4	1	2	+5	-0.7	13
5	Rosenborg	7	3	4	0	+5	+6.9	13
6	Bodo/Glimt	6	4	0	2	+10	+6.0	12
7	Bryne	6	3	1	2	+0	+3.3	10
8	Tromso	5	3	0	2	+1	+2.1	9
9	Ham-Kam	5	2	1	2	-3	-1.8	7
10	KFUM Oslo	5	2	0	3	+2	-0.5	6
11	Kristiansund	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.6	6
12	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	2	2	+2	+3.6	5
13	Valerenga	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.0	4
14	Molde	6	1	1	4	-4	+0.9	4
15	Haugesund	6	0	2	4	-14	-6.7	2
16	Stromsgodset	5	0	0	5	-8	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	7	5	1	1	+8	+5.7	16
2	Tromso	6	4	1	1	+4	-1.2	13
3	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	3	0	+5	+1.3	12
4	Kristiansund	8	3	2	3	-2	-5.7	11
5	Molde	6	3	1	2	+3	-0.9	10
6	Rosenborg	6	3	1	2	-2	-0.8	10
7	Brann	5	3	0	2	-1	+3.7	9
8	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+4	+2.1	7
9	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.9	7
10	Stromsgodset	5	2	0	3	-1	-4.0	6
11	KFUM Oslo	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.4	5
12	Ham-Kam	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.7	5
13	Bryne	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.4	4
14	Fredrikstad	5	1	1	3	-4	-1.6	4
15	Sandefjord	5	1	0	4	-6	-3.3	3
16	Haugesund	6	0	0	6	-13	-15.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.