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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sanchez Lopez
Almeria
S S U S U
1–0
Full-time
Castellon
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,6
2,6
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 7. · Castellon 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 11 7 1 3 +9 22
2 Las Palmas 11 5 4 2 +5 19
3 Cadiz 11 5 4 2 +2 19
4 Burgos 11 5 3 3 +6 +3.1 18
5 Ceuta 11 5 3 3 -1 -2.3 18
6 La Coruna 10 4 4 2 +7 16
7 Almeria 10 4 4 2 +2 16
8 Cordoba 11 4 4 3 +0 16
9 Valladolid 10 4 3 3 +3 +2.3 15
10 Leganes 11 3 6 2 +3 15
11 Sp Gijon 10 5 0 5 -1 15
12 Andorra 11 4 3 4 -3 15
13 Malaga 11 4 2 5 +0 14
14 Huesca 10 4 2 4 -3 14
15 Eibar 11 3 4 4 +1 13
16 Albacete 11 3 4 4 -3 13
17 Castellon 10 3 3 4 +0 12
18 Cultural Leonesa 11 3 2 6 -2 -3.1 11
19 Granada 11 2 5 4 -4 11
20 Sociedad B 10 2 3 5 -3 9
21 Mirandes 11 2 3 6 -7 9
22 Zaragoza 10 1 3 6 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Castellon
Dion Lopy 🟨
36′
43′
🟨 Álex Calatrava
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Mamah
↦ A. Mabil
A. Embarba 🔁
↦ N. Melamed
58′
A. Puigmal 🔁
↦ P. Soko
58′
1–0 D. Chirino
S. Arribas
59′
65′
🔁 I. Suero
↦ B. Gerenabarrena
Thalys 🔁
↦ Leo Baptistao
71′
71′
🔁 M. Doue
↦ Barri
71′
🔁 T. De Nipoti
↦ A. Calatrava
80′
🔁 N. Markanich
↦ S. Ruiz
Gui Guedes 🔁
↦ S. Arribas
81′
S. Clua 🔁
↦ D. Lopy
81′
90′
🟨 Fabrizio Brignani
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
22 D. Chirino D
4 N. Monte D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
17 D. Lopy M
29 S. Dzodic M
12 Leo Baptistao M
11 S. Arribas M
10 N. Melamed M
19 P. Soko F
Bench (12)
20 A. Centelles
36 M. Perovic
9 Thalys
32 P. Fidel Cedillo Segura
8 Gui Guedes
5 S. Clua
31 B. Iribarne
16 M. Luna
24 L. Robertone
23 A. Embarba
2 A. Puigmal
15 A. Hernandez

Coach: Joan Francesc Ferrer Sicilia

Castellon

4-2-3-1
13 R. Matthys G
22 J. Mellot D
3 F. Brignani D
17 S. Ruiz D
12 Alcazar D
8 Barri M
15 B. Gerenabarrena M
7 A. Mabil M
21 A. Calatrava M
16 B. Cipenga M
19 A. Jakobsen F
Bench (12)
30 D. Selles
18 P. Santiago
24 Serpeta
10 I. Suero
35 S. Torner Rosell
14 O. Gil
6 M. Doue
20 N. Markanich
26 Tincho
23 K. Mamah
9 O. Camara
29 T. De Nipoti

Coach: Pablo Hernández Domínguez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,89
U
3,66
B
3,48
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,25
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rafael Sanchez Lopez · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.