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Bundesliga
Referee: W Altmann
0–3
Full-time
Salzburg
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
60%
90%
Both score Ø 65%
60%
70%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Corners 1
4 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 5. · Salzburg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 10 7 0 3 +9 +2.9 21
2 Wolfsberger AC 11 6 2 3 +8 +0.1 20
3 SK Rapid 11 6 2 3 +4 +0.8 20
4 Salzburg 10 5 3 2 +7 +4.2 18
5 Austria Vienna 10 5 1 4 +0 +0.0 16
6 Altach 11 3 5 3 +0 +1.1 14
7 Ried 11 4 2 5 -1 -2.4 14
8 Hartberg 11 3 4 4 +0 -0.4 13
9 LASK 11 4 1 6 -5 -5.0 13
10 Tirol 10 3 3 4 -1 +3.9 12
11 BW Linz 11 3 1 7 -7 -2.2 10
12 Grazer AK 11 0 6 5 -14 -3.0 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Austria Vienna Salzburg
8′
S. Kitano 0–1
16′
K. Alajbegovic 0–2
E. Baidoo
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 A. Terzic
↦ F. Kratzig
46′
🔁 T. Trummer
↦ Y. Vertessen
56′
T. Trummer 0–3
S. Kitano
60′
🔁 M. K. Yeo
↦ K. Alajbegovic
K. Boateng 🔁
↦ N. Botic
66′
Lee Kang-Hee 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
66′
T. Plavotic 🔁
↦ D. Radonjic
66′
69′
🔁 P. Ratkov
↦ E. Baidoo
L. Pazourek 🔁
↦ R. Ranftl
73′
Luca Pazourek 🟨
78′
D. Nisandzic 🔁
↦ M. Fischer
84′
84′
🔁 C. Bischoff
↦ S. Kitano
89′
🟨 Petar Ratkov
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

3-4-3
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger G
60 D. Radonjic D
15 A. Dragovic D
28 P. Wiesinger D
26 R. Ranftl M
5 A. Barry M
30 M. Fischer M
17 Lee Tae-Seok M
9 N. Botic F
19 J. Eggestein F
11 M. Sarkaria F
Bench (9)
99 M. Kos
2 L. Pazourek
14 K. Boateng
16 Lee Kang-Hee
21 H. Guenouche
24 T. Plavotic
29 M. Raguz
66 I. Ndukwe
70 D. Nisandzic

Coach: Stephan Helm

Salzburg

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schlager G
22 S. Lainer D
44 J. Schuster D
2 J. Rasmussen D
13 F. Kratzig D
15 M. Diambou M
5 S. Diabate M
8 S. Kitano M
11 Y. Vertessen M
27 K. Alajbegovic M
20 E. Baidoo F
Bench (9)
92 S. Hamzic
3 A. Terzic
7 C. Bischoff
14 M. Kjaergaard
21 P. Ratkov
29 L. Gourna-Douath
37 T. Trummer
39 Douglas Mendes
49 M. K. Yeo

Coach: Daniel Beichler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Altmann · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.