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Super League
Referee: P Zachariadis
2–0
Full-time
Panetolikos
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Super League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 21%
29%
12%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
35%
29%
Both score Ø 38%
35%
41%
Average goals
2,1
1,8
Scored
0,9
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 8. · Panetolikos 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 17 14 3 0 +37 45
2 AEK 17 11 3 3 +11 36
3 Aris Thessalonikis 16 10 3 3 +12 33
4 Aris 16 10 3 3 +12 33
5 PAOK 17 9 5 3 +13 32
6 Panathinaikos 17 7 4 6 +4 25
7 Atromitos 17 5 7 5 -5 22
8 Asteras Tripolis 17 5 6 6 -5 21
9 OFI Crete 17 5 4 8 -8 19
10 Volos NFC 18 4 7 7 -9 19
11 Giannina 18 3 8 7 -4 17
12 Apollon 16 4 3 9 -5 15
13 Panetolikos 17 2 5 10 -12 11
14 Larisa 16 1 5 10 -20 8
15 Lamia 16 2 2 12 -21 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis Panetolikos
1–0 J. Munafo
J. Barrales
7′
14′
🟨 Joaquín Arzura
25′
🟨 Franco Mazurek
Half-time 1–0
Eneko Capilla 🔁
↦ Sito
62′
Luis Fernández 🔁
↦ Adrián Riera
62′
63′
🔁 N. Mazzola
↦ N. Vergos
63′
🔁 A. Tsigaras
↦ J. Arzura
68′
🔁 G. Ariyibi
↦ G. Manthatis
2–0 Luis Fernández
J. Barrales
69′
F. Bellocq 🔁
↦ J. Munafo
77′
Dani Suarez 🟨
79′
81′
🟨 Gboly Ariyibi
82′
🔁 M. Tzanakakis
↦ A. Konstantopoulos
82′
🔁 A. Jakoliš
↦ A. Tahar
88′
🟨 Dalcio
S. Baba 🔁
↦ Xesc Regis
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

4-4-1-1
99 A. Tsiftsis G
29 F. Álvarez D
15 Dani Suárez D
19 Pepe Castaño D
27 G. Kotsiras D
12 J. Munafo M
40 Sito F
6 José Luis Valiente M
23 Adrián Riera F
9 J. Barrales F
11 Xesc Regis F
Bench (9)
5 Eneko Capilla
10 Luis Fernández
14 F. Bellocq
97 S. Baba
7 Léo Tilica
33 F. Sgouris
2 Rubén García
4 T. Pasalidis
3 C. Tasoulis

Coach: M. Rastavac

Panetolikos

4-1-4-1
1 C. Knett G
47 A. Malis D
54 G. Liavas D
66 A. Konstantopoulos D
6 A. Tahar M
11 J. Díaz M
5 J. Arzura M
7 F. Mazurek M
10 Dálcio M
29 N. Vergos F
24 G. Manthatis F
Bench (9)
9 N. Mazzola
37 A. Tsigaras
12 G. Ariyibi
27 M. Tzanakakis
92 A. Jakoliš
3 Wanderson
22 N. Melissas
21 E. Pereyra
15 J. Álvarez

Coach: T. Dellas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,70
U
3,43
B
5,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,52
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Zachariadis · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
36,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.