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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

U S T S T

0–3

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 47%

40%

53%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

60%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

53%

47%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

12 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 8

2 Corners 3

9 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 7. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	15	9	3	3	+12	30
2	Bochum	15	9	2	4	+13	29
3	Holstein Kiel	15	8	5	2	+10	29
4	Greuther Furth	16	8	4	4	+10	28
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	3	4	+2	27
6	Hannover	15	7	2	6	+6	23
7	Erzgebirge Aue	15	6	4	5	+6	22
8	Karlsruhe	15	7	1	7	+3	22
9	Paderborn	16	6	4	6	+2	22
10	Osnabruck	15	6	4	5	-1	22
11	Heidenheim	15	6	4	5	-1	22
12	Nurnberg	15	5	5	5	+2	20
13	Darmstadt	15	5	3	7	+0	18
14	Regensburg	15	4	5	6	-4	17
15	Sandhausen	15	4	2	9	-15	14
16	Braunschweig	16	3	5	8	-18	14
17	St Pauli	15	1	7	7	-10	10
18	Wurzburger Kickers	16	2	3	11	-17	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	6	1	0	+8	19
2	Heidenheim	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	Bochum	8	5	2	1	+12	17
4	Hannover	7	5	1	1	+11	16
5	Hamburg	8	5	1	2	+9	16
6	Erzgebirge Aue	7	4	2	1	+7	14
7	Holstein Kiel	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Paderborn	7	4	1	2	+3	13
9	Nurnberg	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Greuther Furth	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Regensburg	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Sandhausen	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Braunschweig	8	3	2	3	-4	11
14	Karlsruhe	7	3	0	4	+1	9
15	Darmstadt	7	2	2	3	+0	8
16	Osnabruck	7	2	1	4	-4	7
17	St Pauli	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	Wurzburger Kickers	9	1	3	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Holstein Kiel	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	Osnabruck	8	4	3	1	+3	15
4	Hamburg	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Karlsruhe	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	Bochum	7	4	0	3	+1	12
7	Darmstadt	8	3	1	4	+0	10
8	Paderborn	9	2	3	4	-1	9
9	Nurnberg	7	2	2	3	+1	8
10	Erzgebirge Aue	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Hannover	8	2	1	5	-5	7
13	Regensburg	7	1	3	3	-4	6
14	St Pauli	8	0	4	4	-5	4
15	Heidenheim	7	1	1	5	-10	4
16	Wurzburger Kickers	7	1	0	6	-9	3
17	Sandhausen	7	1	0	6	-13	3
18	Braunschweig	8	0	3	5	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.