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Championship
Referee: M Salisbury
Watford
S U T S T
2–0
Full-time
Huddersfield
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Championship · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 42%
45%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
23%
57%
Both score Ø 45%
41%
48%
Average goals
1,9
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
10 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Watford 6. · Huddersfield 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 23 14 5 4 +11 47
2 Bournemouth 22 11 9 2 +20 42
3 Reading 23 12 4 7 +6 40
4 Swansea 21 11 6 4 +12 39
5 Brentford 20 10 7 3 +14 37
6 Watford 22 10 7 5 +8 37
7 Middlesbrough 23 10 6 7 +9 36
8 Stoke 23 9 8 6 +4 35
9 Barnsley 22 10 4 8 +0 34
10 Bristol City 22 10 3 9 -1 33
11 Blackburn 23 9 5 9 +11 32
12 Preston 23 10 2 11 -1 32
13 Huddersfield 23 9 4 10 -4 31
14 Luton 23 8 6 9 -6 30
15 Cardiff 22 8 5 9 +4 29
16 Millwall 22 5 11 6 -2 26
17 Coventry 23 6 8 9 -9 26
18 Birmingham 24 6 8 10 -11 26
19 Sheffield Weds 23 6 7 10 -8 25
20 QPR 23 5 9 9 -8 24
21 Nott'm Forest 23 5 7 11 -10 22
22 Derby 22 4 7 11 -10 19
23 Rotherham 20 4 4 12 -10 16
24 Wycombe 23 3 6 14 -19 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Watford Huddersfield
Troy Deeney 🟨
30′
40′
🟨 Fraizer Campbell
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Cleverley
54′
Francisco Sierralta 🟨
56′
Nathaniel Chalobah 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 P. Jones
↦ R. Aarons
2–0 João Pedro
64′
66′
🟨 Romoney Crichlow-Noble
A. Gray 🔁
↦ T. Deeney
69′
W. Hughes 🔁
↦ N. Chalobah
69′
69′
🔁 S. High
↦ A. Rowe
76′
🔁 D. Ward
↦ Álex Vallejo
J. Garner 🔁
↦ T. Cleverley
80′
P. Zinckernagel 🔁
↦ K. Sema
80′
Marc Navarro 🔁
↦ Kiko Femenía
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Watford

4-4-2
26 D. Bachmann G
21 Kiko Femenía D
5 W. Troost-Ekong D
11 A. Masina D
31 F. Sierralta D
8 T. Cleverley M
14 N. Chalobah M
12 K. Sema M
9 T. Deeney F
23 I. Sarr M
10 João Pedro F
Bench (9)
18 A. Gray
19 W. Hughes
16 J. Garner
7 P. Zinckernagel
32 Marc Navarro
6 B. Wilmot
3 J. Ngakia
35 A. Parkes
15 C. Cathcart

Coach: Xisco Muñoz

Huddersfield

3-4-3
31 R. Schofield G
3 H. Toffolo M
2 Pipa Ávila M
27 R. Crichlow D
35 R. Edmonds-Green D
5 Álex Vallejo D
7 J. Bacuna M
8 L. O'Brien M
22 F. Campbell F
16 R. Aarons F
29 A. Rowe F
Bench (9)
41 P. Jones
49 S. High
25 D. Ward
44 Joel Castro
36 K. Phillips
33 J. Austerfield
28 J. Brown
37 M. Olagunju
17 D. Duhaney

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
3,81
B
5,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.