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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Hibernian
S T T T U
2–0
Full-time
Kilmarnock
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 38%
43%
32%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
48%
36%
Both score Ø 38%
35%
41%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
6 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 0
0 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 9
4 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 4. · Kilmarnock 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 23 21 2 0 +53 65
2 Celtic 20 13 5 2 +30 44
3 Aberdeen 21 11 6 4 +8 39
4 Hibernian 23 10 7 6 +7 37
5 Livingston 21 9 3 9 +1 30
6 Dundee United 23 6 9 8 -10 27
7 Kilmarnock 22 7 3 12 -2 24
8 St Mirren 20 6 5 9 -7 23
9 ST Johnstone 23 4 8 11 -12 20
10 Motherwell 21 4 6 11 -14 18
11 Hamilton 22 5 3 14 -26 18
12 Ross County 23 4 5 14 -28 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -20 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 0–1 1. Aug -20 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–1 16. Feb -20 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–2 30. Nov -19 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–2 14. Sep -19 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 2–0

Match report

Hibernian Kilmarnock
Half-time 0–1
0–1 A. Power ⚽
own goal
51′
60′
🔁 C. Burke
↦ A. Tshibola
60′
🔁 N. Kabamba
↦ D. Whitehall
C. Doidge 🔁
↦ J. Irvine
73′
79′
🟨 Alan Power
80′
🔁 D. Dabo
↦ A. McGowan
1–1 A. Gogić ⚽
C. Doidge
80′
C. Cadden 🔁
↦ M. Boyle
83′
S. Mallan 🔁
↦ K. Nisbet
90′
J. Gullan 🔁
↦ J. Murphy
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
33 M. Macey G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
13 A. Gogić M
5 R. Porteous D
25 J. Doig D
10 M. Boyle M
20 M. Hallberg M
36 J. Irvine M
18 J. Murphy M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
9 C. Doidge
27 C. Cadden
14 S. Mallan
19 J. Gullan
8 D. Wright
21 M. Dąbrowski
24 D. McGregor
16 L. Stevenson
2 D. Gray

Coach: J. Ross

Kilmarnock

4-1-4-1
23 D. Rogers G
4 C. Dikamona D
17 S. Findlay D
2 A. McGowan D
3 B. Haunstrup D
21 Y. Mulumbu M
6 A. Power M
19 M. Pinnock M
27 A. Tshibola M
10 G. Kiltie M
12 D. Whitehall F
Bench (8)
29 C. Burke
11 N. Kabamba
26 D. Dabo
32 T. Brindley
33 A. Taylor
16 C. Doyle
18 C. Waters
20 I. Cameron

Coach: A. Dyer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,96
🔒
U
3,34
🔒
B
3,98
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,03
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,78
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.