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Ligue 1

Referee: J Stinat

Marseille

T U T S U

1–2

Full-time

Nimes

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,2

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-2,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 17/19 matches

Win Ø 35%

53%

16%

Points per game

1,9

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

41%

53%

Both score Ø 49%

65%

32%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,9

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

14 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 3

1 Offside 7

13 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 6. · Nimes 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	19	11	7	1	+21	40
2	Paris SG	19	12	3	4	+32	39
3	Lille	19	11	6	2	+19	39
4	Monaco	20	11	3	6	+10	36
5	Rennes	19	9	6	4	+7	33
6	Marseille	17	9	5	3	+9	32
7	Angers	19	9	3	7	-5	30
8	Montpellier	20	8	4	8	-2	28
9	Lens	18	8	3	7	+0	27
10	Bordeaux	19	7	5	7	-1	26
11	Brest	19	8	2	9	-4	26
12	Metz	19	6	7	6	+2	25
13	Nice	18	6	5	7	-3	23
14	Reims	19	5	6	8	-2	21
15	Strasbourg	19	6	2	11	-4	20
16	St Etienne	19	4	7	8	-9	19
17	Nantes	19	3	8	8	-12	17
18	Dijon	19	2	8	9	-14	14
19	Lorient	19	3	3	13	-18	12
20	Nimes	19	3	3	13	-26	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	7	1	2	+20	22
2	Lyon	9	6	3	0	+14	21
3	Lille	10	6	3	1	+12	21
4	Monaco	10	6	3	1	+10	21
5	Brest	9	6	1	2	+5	19
6	Rennes	10	5	2	3	+1	17
7	Marseille	8	4	3	1	+5	15
8	Metz	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Bordeaux	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Lens	9	4	2	3	+1	14
11	Angers	9	4	1	4	-3	13
12	Montpellier	11	4	1	6	-4	13
13	Reims	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Nantes	9	2	5	2	-4	11
15	St Etienne	9	2	4	3	-2	10
16	Strasbourg	9	2	2	5	-3	8
17	Nice	9	2	2	5	-8	8
18	Lorient	9	2	1	6	-6	7
19	Dijon	10	0	5	5	-7	5
20	Nimes	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	10	5	4	1	+7	19
2	Lille	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Paris SG	9	5	2	2	+12	17
4	Marseille	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Angers	10	5	2	3	-2	17
6	Rennes	9	4	4	1	+6	16
7	Nice	9	4	3	2	+5	15
8	Montpellier	9	4	3	2	+2	15
9	Monaco	10	5	0	5	+0	15
10	Lens	9	4	1	4	-1	13
11	Strasbourg	10	4	0	6	-1	12
12	Bordeaux	9	3	2	4	-3	11
13	Reims	10	2	4	4	+0	10
14	Metz	9	2	4	3	+0	10
15	St Etienne	10	2	3	5	-7	9
16	Dijon	9	2	3	4	-7	9
17	Nimes	9	2	2	5	-12	8
18	Brest	10	2	1	7	-9	7
19	Nantes	10	1	3	6	-8	6
20	Lorient	10	1	2	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.