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Ligue 2
Auxerre
U S S U U
4–1
Full-time
Chateauroux
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Chateauroux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,3
0,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 32%
47%
16%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
63%
42%
Both score Ø 55%
63%
47%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
1,9
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

9 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Auxerre 5. · Chateauroux 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 20 12 5 3 +14 41
2 Toulouse 20 11 6 3 +16 39
3 Grenoble 20 10 5 5 +10 35
4 Clermont 19 9 7 3 +15 34
5 Auxerre 19 9 6 4 +15 33
6 Paris FC 19 9 5 5 +6 32
7 Sochaux 20 6 10 4 +7 28
8 Caen 19 7 7 5 -1 28
9 Amiens 19 7 6 6 +4 27
10 Valenciennes 19 7 6 6 +3 27
11 Niort 19 7 4 8 -9 25
12 Le Havre 19 6 5 8 -8 23
13 Ajaccio 19 5 7 7 -7 22
14 Dunkerque 19 6 3 10 -6 21
15 Guingamp 19 4 8 7 -5 20
16 Chambly 19 4 7 8 -8 19
17 Nancy 19 4 6 9 -6 18
18 Rodez 19 2 10 7 -11 16
19 Pau FC 19 3 5 11 -15 14
20 Chateauroux 19 3 4 12 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,50
U
4,05
B
6,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.