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Bundesliga
Referee: M Fritz
Hoffenheim
T T S T T
0–0
Full-time
Bielefeld
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Bielefeld
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
73%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 14. · Bielefeld 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 10 3 2 +22 33
2 RB Leipzig 15 9 4 2 +14 31
3 Leverkusen 16 8 5 3 +14 29
4 Union Berlin 16 7 7 2 +12 28
5 Dortmund 15 9 1 5 +12 28
6 Wolfsburg 15 6 7 2 +5 25
7 M'gladbach 15 6 6 3 +4 24
8 Freiburg 15 6 5 4 +4 23
9 Ein Frankfurt 15 5 8 2 +2 23
10 Stuttgart 15 5 6 4 +8 21
11 Augsburg 15 5 4 6 -6 19
12 Hertha 15 4 4 7 -2 16
13 Werder Bremen 15 3 6 6 -7 15
14 Hoffenheim 15 4 3 8 -8 15
15 Bielefeld 15 4 1 10 -14 13
16 FC Koln 15 2 5 8 -14 11
17 Schalke 04 15 1 4 10 -27 7
18 Mainz 15 1 3 11 -19 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Bielefeld
Marco John 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
H. Nordtveit 🔁
↦ K. Vogt
46′
58′
🔁 N. De Medina
↦ C. Brunner
67′
🔁 C. Gebauer
↦ S. Córdova
67′
🔁 S. Schipplock
↦ R. Yabo
77′
🟨 Joakim Nilsson
S. Adamyan 🔁
↦ M. Dabour
79′
I. Belfodil 🔁
↦ M. Gaćinović
87′
92′
🔁 N. Seufert
↦ M. Hartel
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-5-2
1 O. Baumann G
22 K. Vogt D
38 S. Posch D
15 K. Nuhu D
16 S. Rudy M
20 M. Gaćinović M
18 D. Samassekou M
30 M. John M
27 A. Kramarić M
10 M. Dabour F
9 I. Bebou F
Bench (9)
6 H. Nordtveit
23 S. Adamyan
19 I. Belfodil
32 M. Bogarde
35 M. Beier
2 J. Brenet
41 M. Geschwill
12 P. Pentke
7 J. Bruun Larsen

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Bielefeld

4-1-3-2
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
5 J. Laursen D
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
2 A. Pieper D
10 R. Yabo M
30 M. Hartel M
16 F. Kunze M
8 R. Doan M
9 F. Klos F
18 S. Córdova F
Bench (9)
15 N. De Medina
7 C. Gebauer
36 S. Schipplock
20 N. Seufert
34 O. Linnér
17 C. Soukou
23 Anderson Lucoqui
31 A. Maier
6 M. van der Hoorn

Coach: U. Neuhaus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,71
U ✓
3,88
B
4,92
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Fritz · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.