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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Werder Bremen
T T S T U
2–0
Full-time
Augsburg
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
20%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
33%
47%
Both score Ø 63%
73%
53%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 13. · Augsburg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 10 3 2 +22 33
2 RB Leipzig 15 9 4 2 +14 31
3 Leverkusen 16 8 5 3 +14 29
4 Union Berlin 16 7 7 2 +12 28
5 Dortmund 15 9 1 5 +12 28
6 Wolfsburg 15 6 7 2 +5 25
7 M'gladbach 15 6 6 3 +4 24
8 Freiburg 15 6 5 4 +4 23
9 Ein Frankfurt 15 5 8 2 +2 23
10 Stuttgart 15 5 6 4 +8 21
11 Augsburg 15 5 4 6 -6 19
12 Hertha 15 4 4 7 -2 16
13 Werder Bremen 15 3 6 6 -7 15
14 Hoffenheim 15 4 3 8 -8 15
15 Bielefeld 15 4 1 10 -14 13
16 FC Koln 15 2 5 8 -14 11
17 Schalke 04 15 1 4 10 -27 7
18 Mainz 15 1 3 11 -19 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Augsburg
32′
🟨 Daniel Caligiuri
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 R. Gumny
↦ D. Caligiuri
58′
🔁 F. Niederlechner
↦ A. Finnbogason
R. Schmid 🔁
↦ D. Selke
72′
74′
🔁 N. Sarenren Bazee
↦ R. Vargas
1–0 T. Gebre Selassie
84′
87′
🔁 T. Civeja
↦ R. Khedira
87′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ R. Oxford
2–0 F. Agu
R. Schmid
87′
M. Rashica 🔁
↦ K. Möhwald
90′
I. Gruev 🔁
↦ J. Sargent
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-5-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
21 Ö. Toprak D
23 T. Gebre Selassie M
13 M. Veljkovic D
32 M. Friedl D
17 F. Agu M
6 K. Möhwald M
35 M. Eggestein M
34 J. Mbom M
9 D. Selke F
19 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
20 R. Schmid
28 I. Gruev
7 M. Rashica
27 S. Kapino
10 L. Bittencourt
43 E. Dinkçi
18 N. Moisander
22 T. Chong
8 Y. Ōsako

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Augsburg

3-4-3
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
3 M. Pedersen M
19 F. Uduokhai D
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn F
25 C. Gruezo M
8 R. Khedira M
36 R. Oxford D
16 R. Vargas F
27 A. Finnbogason F
Bench (9)
2 R. Gumny
7 F. Niederlechner
17 N. Sarenren Bazee
41 T. Civeja
11 M. Gregoritsch
5 M. Suchý
33 T. Strobl
40 T. Koubek
4 F. Götze

Coach: H. Herrlich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,30
B
3,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.