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Eredivisie

Referee: I Oostrom

Utrecht

T U S U T

2–0

Full-time

Heracles

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 14/16 matches

Win Ø 26%

21%

31%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 62%

79%

44%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 3

8 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 12. · Heracles 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	2	2	+44	38
2	Vitesse	17	12	2	3	+18	38
3	PSV Eindhoven	17	11	4	2	+22	37
4	Feyenoord	14	10	3	1	+20	33
5	AZ Alkmaar	16	8	7	1	+15	31
6	Groningen	15	9	2	4	+4	29
7	Twente	16	8	3	5	+9	27
8	Heerenveen	16	5	6	5	-1	21
9	Sparta Rotterdam	16	6	2	8	-2	20
10	Heracles	16	5	3	8	-7	18
11	Zwolle	16	3	8	5	-7	17
12	Utrecht	14	3	7	4	-4	16
13	For Sittard	16	4	4	8	-11	16
14	VVV Venlo	16	4	3	9	-18	15
15	Waalwijk	16	3	4	9	-14	13
16	Den Haag	16	2	4	10	-24	10
17	Willem II	16	2	3	11	-16	9
18	FC Emmen	17	0	5	12	-28	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+13	21
3	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+19	19
4	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+8	14
5	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Groningen	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Twente	9	3	2	4	+0	11
9	Heracles	8	3	1	4	+4	10
10	Utrecht	7	2	4	1	+0	10
11	Zwolle	8	2	4	2	+0	10
12	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	2	5	-2	8
13	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	VVV Venlo	8	2	2	4	-16	8
15	Willem II	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	FC Emmen	9	0	3	6	-15	3
18	Den Haag	8	0	2	6	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+25	19
2	Feyenoord	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	5	0	+8	17
4	PSV Eindhoven	9	4	4	1	+9	16
5	Twente	7	5	1	1	+9	16
6	Vitesse	9	5	1	3	+6	16
7	Groningen	7	5	0	2	+2	15
8	Sparta Rotterdam	7	4	0	3	+0	12
9	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	-2	10
10	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-11	8
12	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-12	8
13	VVV Venlo	8	2	1	5	-2	7
14	Zwolle	8	1	4	3	-7	7
15	Waalwijk	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Utrecht	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Willem II	8	0	2	6	-10	2
18	FC Emmen	8	0	2	6	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.