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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Sparta Rotterdam

S T S T S

3–5

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 52%

40%

63%

Points per game

1,3

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

47%

75%

Both score Ø 55%

40%

69%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,6

2,3

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 9. · PSV Eindhoven 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	16	12	2	2	+44	38
2	Vitesse	17	12	2	3	+18	38
3	PSV Eindhoven	16	10	4	2	+20	34
4	Feyenoord	14	10	3	1	+20	33
5	AZ Alkmaar	16	8	7	1	+15	31
6	Groningen	15	9	2	4	+4	29
7	Twente	16	8	3	5	+9	27
8	Heerenveen	16	5	6	5	-1	21
9	Sparta Rotterdam	15	6	2	7	+0	20
10	Heracles	16	5	3	8	-7	18
11	Zwolle	16	3	8	5	-7	17
12	Utrecht	14	3	7	4	-4	16
13	For Sittard	16	4	4	8	-11	16
14	VVV Venlo	16	4	3	9	-18	15
15	Waalwijk	16	3	4	9	-14	13
16	Den Haag	16	2	4	10	-24	10
17	Willem II	16	2	3	11	-16	9
18	FC Emmen	17	0	5	12	-28	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+13	21
3	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+19	19
4	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+8	14
5	AZ Alkmaar	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Groningen	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+1	11
8	Twente	9	3	2	4	+0	11
9	Heracles	8	3	1	4	+4	10
10	Utrecht	7	2	4	1	+0	10
11	Zwolle	8	2	4	2	+0	10
12	Sparta Rotterdam	8	2	2	4	+0	8
13	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	VVV Venlo	8	2	2	4	-16	8
15	Willem II	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Waalwijk	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	FC Emmen	9	0	3	6	-15	3
18	Den Haag	8	0	2	6	-12	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+25	19
2	Feyenoord	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	5	0	+8	17
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	+9	16
5	Vitesse	9	5	1	3	+6	16
6	Groningen	7	5	0	2	+2	15
7	PSV Eindhoven	8	3	4	1	+7	13
8	Sparta Rotterdam	7	4	0	3	+0	12
9	Heerenveen	8	2	4	2	-2	10
10	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-6	8
11	Heracles	8	2	2	4	-11	8
12	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-12	8
13	VVV Venlo	8	2	1	5	-2	7
14	Zwolle	8	1	4	3	-7	7
15	Waalwijk	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Utrecht	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Willem II	8	0	2	6	-10	2
18	FC Emmen	8	0	2	6	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.