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Primeira Liga
Referee: Gustavo Correia
Tondela
T U T S T
3–1
Full-time
Boavista
U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
0,7
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 16%
23%
8%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
31%
46%
Both score Ø 43%
31%
54%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%
18 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
16 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Tondela 15. · Boavista 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 14 11 3 0 +22 36
2 Porto 14 10 2 2 +19 32
3 Benfica 14 10 2 2 +15 32
4 Sp Braga 14 9 0 5 +8 27
5 Pacos Ferreira 14 7 4 3 +7 25
6 Guimaraes 12 6 2 4 +3 20
7 Santa Clara 13 4 3 6 -4 15
8 Rio Ave 14 3 6 5 -6 15
9 Maritimo 13 4 2 7 -3 14
10 Moreirense 13 3 5 5 -5 14
11 Nacional 12 3 4 5 -4 13
12 Gil Vicente 13 3 4 6 -5 13
13 Farense 13 3 3 7 -4 12
14 Belenenses 13 2 6 5 -5 12
15 Tondela 13 3 3 7 -12 12
16 Boavista 13 1 8 4 -8 11
17 Portimonense 13 3 2 8 -8 11
18 Famalicao 13 2 5 6 -10 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,13
U
3,24
B
2,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.