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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Stuttgart
S U T T S
2–2
Full-time
M'gladbach
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 37%
33%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
11 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 10. · M'gladbach 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 10 3 2 +22 33
2 RB Leipzig 16 9 5 2 +14 32
3 Leverkusen 16 8 5 3 +14 29
4 Dortmund 16 9 2 5 +12 29
5 Union Berlin 16 7 7 2 +12 28
6 Wolfsburg 16 6 8 2 +5 26
7 M'gladbach 15 6 6 3 +4 24
8 Freiburg 15 6 5 4 +4 23
9 Ein Frankfurt 15 5 8 2 +2 23
10 Stuttgart 15 5 6 4 +8 21
11 Augsburg 16 5 4 7 -8 19
12 Werder Bremen 16 4 6 6 -5 18
13 Hertha 16 4 5 7 -2 17
14 Hoffenheim 16 4 4 8 -8 16
15 Bielefeld 16 4 2 10 -14 14
16 FC Koln 16 2 6 8 -14 12
17 Mainz 16 1 4 11 -19 7
18 Schalke 04 15 1 4 10 -27 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart M'gladbach
34′
L. Stindl 0–1
37′
🟨 Denis Zakaria
45′
🟨 Lars Stindl
Half-time 0–1
S. Kalajdzic 🔁
↦ M. Klimowicz
56′
1–1 N. González
B. Sosa
58′
61′
🔁 A. Plea
↦ B. Embolo
61′
D. Zakaria 1–2
L. Stindl
Nicolás González 🟨
71′
71′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ C. Kramer
72′
🔁 H. Wolf
↦ L. Stindl
73′
🟨 Jonas Hofmann
P. Klement 🔁
↦ G. Castro
74′
Silas Wamangituka 🟨
81′
T. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ N. González
82′
D. Didavi 🔁
↦ P. Stenzel
82′
89′
🔁 L. Bénes
↦ D. Zakaria
Saša Kalajdžić ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
90′
2–2 S. Wamangituka
96′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-5-2
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
2 W. Anton D
15 P. Stenzel D
24 B. Sosa M
8 G. Castro M
3 W. Endo M
23 O. Mangala M
31 M. Klimowicz F
22 N. González F
14 S. Wamangituka M
Bench (9)
9 S. Kalajdzic
21 P. Klement
7 T. Coulibaly
10 D. Didavi
20 P. Förster
5 K. Mavropanos
30 R. Massimo
33 F. Bredlow
16 A. Karazor

Coach: P. Matarazzo

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Sommer G
18 S. Lainer D
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaini D
13 L. Stindl M
6 C. Kramer M
23 J. Hofmann M
32 F. Neuhaus M
8 D. Zakaria M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (9)
14 A. Plea
7 P. Herrmann
11 H. Wolf
22 L. Bénes
17 O. Wendt
24 T. Jantschke
16 I. Traoré
15 L. Beyer
21 T. Sippel

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,88
U ✓
3,77
B
2,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,49
U2,5
2,57
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.