Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Stuttgart
M'gladbach
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 33 |
| 2 |
RB Leipzig
|
16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | +14 | 32 |
| 3 |
Leverkusen
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 |
Dortmund
|
16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +12 | 29 |
| 5 |
Union Berlin
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +12 | 28 |
| 6 |
Wolfsburg
|
16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | +5 | 26 |
| 7 |
M'gladbach
|
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | +4 | 24 |
| 8 |
Freiburg
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |
Stuttgart
|
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +8 | 21 |
| 11 |
Augsburg
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |
Werder Bremen
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 |
Hertha
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 17 |
| 14 |
Hoffenheim
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |
Bielefeld
|
16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -14 | 14 |
| 16 |
FC Koln
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -14 | 12 |
| 17 |
Mainz
|
16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -19 | 7 |
| 18 |
Schalke 04
|
15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -27 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Kobel
G
M. Kempf
D
W. Anton
D
B. Sosa
M
W. Endo
M
O. Mangala
M
N. González
F
Coach: P. Matarazzo
Y. Sommer
G
S. Lainer
D
M. Ginter
D
N. Elvedi
D
R. Bensebaini
D
J. Hofmann
M
F. Neuhaus
M
D. Zakaria
M
Coach: M. Rose
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Augsburg
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Union Berlin
Dortmund
Stuttgart
F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.