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Pro League
Referee: B Put
3–1
Full-time
Beerschot VA
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Beerschot VA
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,8
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 15/17 matches
Win Ø 36%
13%
59%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
33%
88%
Both score Ø 61%
40%
82%
Average goals
2,3
4,8
Scored
0,6
2,5
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2 Corners 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 20. · Beerschot VA 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 15 9 5 1 +17 32
2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17 9 4 4 +6 31
3 Beerschot VA 17 10 1 6 +3 31
4 Club Brugge 15 8 4 3 +18 28
5 Antwerp 14 7 5 2 +8 26
6 Charleroi 17 7 4 6 +4 25
7 Anderlecht 15 5 9 1 +9 24
8 Standard 14 6 6 2 +5 24
9 Eupen 17 5 9 3 -1 24
10 Kortrijk 17 6 5 6 +1 23
11 Cercle Brugge 17 7 0 10 -4 21
12 Waregem 17 6 3 8 -5 21
13 Gent 15 6 1 8 +1 19
14 Oostende 14 4 4 6 +1 16
15 Mechelen 13 4 4 5 -3 16
16 Waasland-Beveren 15 4 3 8 -9 15
17 Beveren 15 4 3 8 -9 15
18 Mouscron 16 3 4 9 -14 13
19 St Truiden 17 2 6 9 -12 12
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 2 4 9 -16 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Beerschot VA
7′
🟨 Raphael Holzhauser
1–0 J. Onana
12′
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Denis Prychynenko
56′
🔁 M. Halaimia
↦ A. Mboko
2–0 Nuno da Costa
Bruno Xadas
57′
59′
🔁 D. Van den Buijs
↦ D. Prychynenko
61′
🔁 A. Sanyang
↦ T. Pietermaat
S. Tabekou 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
68′
3–0 S. Tabekou
I. Faraj
76′
B. Badibanga 🔁
↦ Nuno da Costa
77′
V. Postolachi 🔁
↦ Bruno Xadas
80′
82′
R. Holzhauser 3–1
A. Sanyang
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
16 H. Koffi G
26 M. Silvestre D
13 A. Ciranni D
5 S. Agouzoul D
6 D. Hočko M
11 D. Mohamed M
7 F. Olinga F
23 Bruno Xadas M
8 J. Onana M
20 Nuno da Costa F
14 I. Faraj F
Bench (7)
70 S. Tabekou
29 B. Badibanga
9 V. Postolachi
18 R. Quirynen
30 B. Van Durmen
21 N. Gillekens
4 A. Gueye

Coach: Jorge Simão

Beerschot VA

4-3-1-2
31 M. Vanhamel G
15 P. Bourdin D
3 D. Prychynenko D
2 J. Van den Bergh D
79 A. Mboko D
8 R. Holzhauser M
16 T. Pietermaat M
18 R. Sanusi M
28 I. Coulibaly M
10 M. Suzuki F
7 B. Eleke F
Bench (7)
27 M. Halaimia
6 D. Van den Buijs
22 A. Sanyang
24 Y. Vorogovskiy
38 D. Mukuna-Trouet
36 S. Ceulemans
72 A. Lejoly

Coach: H. Losada

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Put · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.