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Pro League

Referee: J Lardot

Genk

T S U U U

2–1

Full-time

Charleroi

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — Pro League · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 46%

25%

67%

Points per game

1,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 72%

88%

56%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 5

21 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 13. · Charleroi 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	10	6	3	1	+7	21
2	Beerschot VA	10	7	0	3	+3	21
3	Charleroi	9	6	2	1	+9	20
4	Antwerp	10	5	3	2	+6	18
5	Anderlecht	9	4	5	0	+8	17
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	5	2	2	+3	17
7	Kortrijk	11	5	2	4	+2	17
8	Club Brugge	8	5	1	2	+15	16
9	Cercle Brugge	9	5	0	4	+4	15
10	Eupen	10	3	5	2	+0	14
11	Waregem	11	4	1	6	-6	13
12	Oostende	8	3	3	2	+6	12
13	Genk	8	2	5	1	+0	11
14	Mechelen	8	3	1	4	-3	10
15	Gent	9	3	0	6	-2	9
16	St Truiden	9	1	3	5	-10	6
17	Waasland-Beveren	8	1	1	6	-10	4
18	Beveren	8	1	1	6	-10	4
19	Mouscron	9	0	3	6	-11	3
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	0	3	6	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beerschot VA	6	5	0	1	+7	15
2	Oostende	5	3	1	1	+7	10
3	Cercle Brugge	4	3	0	1	+6	9
4	Club Brugge	5	3	0	2	+5	9
5	Antwerp	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Anderlecht	5	2	3	0	+4	9
7	Charleroi	4	3	0	1	+4	9
8	Standard	5	2	3	0	+2	9
9	Kortrijk	6	2	1	3	+0	7
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Waregem	6	2	0	4	-5	6
12	Genk	3	1	2	0	+2	5
13	St Truiden	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Mechelen	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Eupen	4	1	1	2	-4	4
16	Gent	3	1	0	2	+2	3
17	Waasland-Beveren	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Beveren	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Mouscron	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Charleroi	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Eupen	6	2	4	0	+4	10
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Kortrijk	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Antwerp	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+10	7
9	Waregem	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Genk	5	1	3	1	-2	6
11	Cercle Brugge	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Mechelen	4	2	0	2	-3	6
13	Gent	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Beerschot VA	4	2	0	2	-4	6
15	Waasland-Beveren	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Beveren	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Oostende	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Mouscron	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	0	2	2	-6	2
20	St Truiden	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.