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Eredivisie

Referee: Reinold Wiedemeijer

Utrecht

U U U U S

2–1

Full-time

Zwolle

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 20/22 matches

Win Ø 45%

40%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

55%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

55%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 6. · Zwolle 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	22	19	1	2	+36	58
2	Ajax	22	16	3	3	+43	51
3	AZ Alkmaar	22	14	4	4	+21	46
4	Feyenoord	22	11	6	5	+23	39
5	Zwolle	22	11	6	5	+2	39
6	Utrecht	20	8	7	5	-2	31
7	Vitesse	19	8	6	5	+10	30
8	Heerenveen	21	8	6	7	-2	30
9	VVV Venlo	22	7	8	7	-5	29
10	Den Haag	20	8	4	8	-3	28
11	Excelsior	22	7	4	11	-7	25
12	Heracles	22	6	6	10	-17	24
13	Groningen	22	5	7	10	-5	22
14	Willem II	22	5	5	12	-13	20
15	NAC Breda	22	5	4	13	-14	19
16	Twente	22	4	4	14	-16	16
17	Roda	22	4	4	14	-24	16
18	Sparta Rotterdam	22	3	5	14	-27	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+22	33
2	Ajax	11	9	0	2	+22	27
3	Zwolle	11	7	2	2	+8	23
4	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+9	22
5	Feyenoord	11	6	3	2	+11	21
6	Heracles	11	6	3	2	+5	21
7	Groningen	11	4	5	2	+5	17
8	Utrecht	10	4	5	1	+1	17
9	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Heerenveen	10	4	2	4	-5	14
11	NAC Breda	11	4	1	6	-6	13
12	Willem II	12	3	3	6	-1	12
13	VVV Venlo	11	3	3	5	-4	12
14	Roda	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Twente	11	3	2	6	-6	11
16	Sparta Rotterdam	11	3	2	6	-11	11
17	Vitesse	8	2	4	2	+2	10
18	Excelsior	11	2	3	6	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	1	2	+14	25
2	Ajax	11	7	3	1	+21	24
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	3	1	+12	24
4	Vitesse	11	6	2	3	+8	20
5	Feyenoord	11	5	3	3	+12	18
6	VVV Venlo	11	4	5	2	-1	17
7	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+3	16
8	Excelsior	11	5	1	5	-1	16
9	Zwolle	11	4	4	3	-6	16
10	Utrecht	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Den Haag	9	4	1	4	-4	13
12	Willem II	10	2	2	6	-12	8
13	NAC Breda	11	1	3	7	-8	6
14	Groningen	11	1	2	8	-10	5
15	Twente	11	1	2	8	-10	5
16	Roda	11	1	1	9	-19	4
17	Sparta Rotterdam	11	0	3	8	-16	3
18	Heracles	11	0	3	8	-22	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.