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Eredivisie
Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom
Utrecht
U S U T U
1–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,0
This season — Eredivisie · 16/18 matches
Win Ø 47%
44%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
63%
44%
Both score Ø 54%
63%
44%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 9
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 7. · Feyenoord 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 16 1 2 +29 49
2 Ajax 19 14 2 3 +39 44
3 AZ Alkmaar 19 12 3 4 +15 39
4 Zwolle 19 10 6 3 +6 36
5 Feyenoord 18 9 5 4 +19 32
6 Den Haag 18 8 3 7 -1 27
7 Utrecht 16 7 4 5 -3 25
8 Vitesse 17 6 6 5 +7 24
9 Heerenveen 18 6 6 6 -3 24
10 Excelsior 19 7 3 9 -5 24
11 VVV Venlo 19 5 8 6 -4 23
12 Heracles 19 6 4 9 -12 22
13 Groningen 19 5 6 8 +0 21
14 Willem II 19 4 5 10 -13 17
15 Twente 19 4 4 11 -9 16
16 NAC Breda 19 4 4 11 -16 16
17 Roda 19 3 3 13 -23 12
18 Sparta Rotterdam 19 2 5 12 -26 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Feyenoord
15′
🟨 Tyrell Malacia
23′
S. Larsson 0–1
S. Berghuis
G. Troupée 🔁
↦ Robin van der Meer
33′
1–1 G. Kerk
41′
45′
🟨 Jeremiah St. Juste
Half-time 1–1
60′
🔁 K. Diks
↦ R. Tapia
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ S. van de Streek
63′
71′
🔁 J. Boëtius
↦ S. Berghuis
81′
🔁 R. van Persie
↦ D. Vente
L. Görtler 🔁
↦ Z. Labyad
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 D. Jensen G
3 R. Leeuwin D
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
15 Robin van der Meer D
17 S. Klaiber D
10 Z. Labyad F
8 Y. Ayoub M
6 R. Strieder M
22 S. van de Streek M
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (10)
20 G. Troupée
11 C. Dessers
27 L. Görtler
5 D. Dumić
13 M. Klich
16 N. Marsman
18 U. Emanuelson
19 B. Ould-Chikh
25 O. Velanas
30 C. David

Coach: J. de Jong

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
3 S. van Beek D
4 J. St. Juste D
35 T. Malacia D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
20 R. Tapia M
10 T. Vilhena M
21 S. Amrabat M
19 S. Berghuis F
11 S. Larsson F
34 D. Vente
Bench (10)
17 K. Diks
7 J. Boëtius
32 R. van Persie
2 B. Nieuwkoop
5 R. Haps
14 B. Basaçikoglu
22 J. Bijlow
28 J. Toornstra
30 R. ten Hove
33 Eric Botteghin

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bernie Raymond Blom · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.