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Championship
Referee: David Webb
Ipswich
T S U T S
0–0
Full-time
Burton Albion
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Burton Albion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
This season — Championship · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 32%
43%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
47%
57%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
5 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 12. · Burton Albion 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 30 21 5 4 +32 68
2 Derby 29 16 8 5 +24 56
3 Cardiff 30 16 7 7 +18 55
4 Bristol City 30 14 9 7 +9 51
5 Fulham 28 14 8 6 +17 50
6 Aston Villa 27 14 7 6 +17 49
7 Sheffield United 31 15 4 12 +7 49
8 Preston 30 12 12 6 +8 48
9 Middlesbrough 28 13 5 10 +11 44
10 Leeds 31 13 5 13 +3 44
11 Brentford 30 11 10 9 +3 43
12 Ipswich 30 13 4 13 +2 43
13 Norwich 30 12 7 11 -3 43
14 Millwall 31 9 12 10 +2 39
15 QPR 30 9 9 12 -10 36
16 Nott'm Forest 30 11 2 17 -13 35
17 Sheffield Weds 31 7 13 11 -6 34
18 Reading 30 8 8 14 -6 32
19 Birmingham 30 8 6 16 -19 30
20 Bolton 29 7 8 14 -19 29
21 Barnsley 31 6 10 15 -15 28
22 Hull 30 5 11 14 -7 26
23 Sunderland 30 5 10 15 -21 25
24 Burton Albion 30 6 6 18 -34 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Burton Albion
25′
🟨 Lloyd Dyer
Half-time 0–0
S. Gleeson 🔁
↦ C. Connolly
60′
M. Carayol 🔁
↦ G. Ward
60′
71′
🔁 L. Boyce
↦ D. Bent
81′
🔁 M. Sordell
↦ L. Dyer
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
33 B. Bialkowski G
4 L. Chambers D
12 J. Spence D
3 J. Knudsen D
16 C. Connolly M
27 C. Carter-Vickers D
8 C. Skuse M
18 G. Ward M
9 M. Waghorn F
14 J. Garner F
11 B. Celina M
Bench (7)
25 S. Gleeson
32 M. Carayol
2 D. Iorfa
6 A. Webster
19 L. Hyam
20 F. Sears
24 M. Crowe

Coach: M. McCarthy

Burton Albion

4-1-4-1
1 S. Bywater G
5 K. McFadzean D
2 J. Brayford D
11 L. Dyer M
15 T. Naylor D
21 H. Akpan M
4 J. Allen M
20 M. Samuelsen M
19 J. Davenport M
9 D. Bent F
10 L. Akins F
Bench (7)
27 L. Boyce
17 M. Sordell
14 D. McCrory
23 J. Buxton
24 H. Campbell
25 S. Barker
26 J. Sbarra

Coach: N. Clough

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

David Webb · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.