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Championship
Referee: James Linington
Bristol City
T T U S T
3–3
Full-time
Sunderland
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
This season — Championship · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 32%
47%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
53%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
57%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 4. · Sunderland 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 30 21 5 4 +32 68
2 Derby 29 16 8 5 +24 56
3 Cardiff 30 16 7 7 +18 55
4 Bristol City 30 14 9 7 +9 51
5 Fulham 28 14 8 6 +17 50
6 Aston Villa 27 14 7 6 +17 49
7 Sheffield United 31 15 4 12 +7 49
8 Preston 30 12 12 6 +8 48
9 Middlesbrough 28 13 5 10 +11 44
10 Leeds 31 13 5 13 +3 44
11 Brentford 30 11 10 9 +3 43
12 Ipswich 30 13 4 13 +2 43
13 Norwich 30 12 7 11 -3 43
14 Millwall 31 9 12 10 +2 39
15 QPR 30 9 9 12 -10 36
16 Nott'm Forest 30 11 2 17 -13 35
17 Sheffield Weds 31 7 13 11 -6 34
18 Reading 30 8 8 14 -6 32
19 Birmingham 30 8 6 16 -19 30
20 Bolton 29 7 8 14 -19 29
21 Barnsley 31 6 10 15 -15 28
22 Hull 30 5 11 14 -7 26
23 Sunderland 30 5 10 15 -21 25
24 Burton Albion 30 6 6 18 -34 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Sunderland
1–0 A. Flint
M. Pack
5′
2–0 F. Diedhiou
B. Reid
31′
3–0 F. Diedhiou
R. Kent
37′
Korey Smith 🟨
45′
Half-time 3–0
L. Diony 🔁
↦ B. Reid
46′
Famara Diédhiou 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 K. LuaLua
↦ B. Oviedo
70′
J. Brownhill 4–0
own goal
71′
🔁 A. McGeady
↦ G. Honeyman
72′
🟨 Billy Jones
Joe Bryan 🟨
80′
81′
A. McGeady 4–1
L. Cattermole
83′
🔁 E. Robson
↦ O. Ejaria
92′
M. Pack 5–1
own goal
L. Walsh 🔁
↦ F. Diedhiou
93′
H. Magnússon 🔁
↦ R. Kent
93′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Bristol City

4-4-2
1 F. Fielding G
4 A. Flint D
5 B. Wright D
3 J. Bryan D
7 K. Smith M
21 M. Pack M
14 B. Reid F
8 J. Brownhill M
40 R. Kent M
20 J. Paterson M
9 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (7)
39 L. Diony
12 L. Walsh
23 H. Magnússon
15 L. Steele
16 G. Engvall
18 C. Woodrow
19 N. Eliasson

Coach: L. Johnson

Sunderland

5-3-2
12 L. Camp G
16 J. O'Shea D
2 B. Jones D
3 B. Oviedo D
18 T. Browning D
35 J. Clarke-Salter D
6 L. Cattermole M
53 O. Ejaria M
26 G. Honeyman M
29 J. Asoro F
9 A. Fletcher F
Bench (7)
11 K. LuaLua
19 A. McGeady
28 E. Robson
1 J. Steele
20 J. Maja
22 D. Love
27 L. Gooch

Coach: C. Coleman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

James Linington · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.