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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Malaga

T T U U T

0–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

1,0

1,7

Scored

0,2

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 39%

14%

64%

Points per game

0,6

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

27%

Both score Ø 30%

27%

32%

Average goals

2,2

1,9

Scored

0,6

1,5

Conceded

1,6

0,4

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

22 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 20. · Ath Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	22	18	4	0	+49	58
2	Ath Madrid	22	14	7	1	+24	49
3	Valencia	22	12	4	6	+16	40
4	Real Madrid	21	11	6	4	+24	39
5	Villarreal	23	11	4	8	+6	37
6	Sevilla	22	10	3	9	-6	33
7	Eibar	22	9	5	8	-3	32
8	Celta	22	9	4	9	+7	31
9	Girona	22	8	7	7	+2	31
10	Betis	22	9	3	10	-8	30
11	Getafe	22	7	8	7	+5	29
12	Leganes	21	8	5	8	-1	29
13	Ath Bilbao	23	6	10	7	-1	28
14	Sociedad	22	7	5	10	+1	26
15	Espanol	22	6	7	9	-10	25
16	Alaves	23	8	1	14	-12	25
17	Levante	22	3	11	8	-12	20
18	Las Palmas	23	5	3	15	-33	18
19	La Coruna	22	4	5	13	-27	17
20	Malaga	22	3	4	15	-21	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+26	28
2	Ath Madrid	11	7	4	0	+11	25
3	Valencia	11	7	2	2	+12	23
4	Eibar	12	6	3	3	+10	21
5	Getafe	12	6	3	3	+9	21
6	Sevilla	10	6	3	1	+8	21
7	Real Madrid	11	6	2	3	+15	20
8	Villarreal	11	6	2	3	+10	20
9	Betis	12	6	2	4	-1	20
10	Espanol	12	5	3	4	+0	18
11	Girona	11	5	2	4	+5	17
12	Leganes	9	5	2	2	+2	17
13	Alaves	12	5	1	6	-4	16
14	Sociedad	12	4	3	5	+4	15
15	Celta	10	4	3	3	+2	15
16	Ath Bilbao	11	3	6	2	+2	15
17	Las Palmas	11	4	1	6	-10	13
18	Levante	12	2	5	5	-6	11
19	La Coruna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
20	Malaga	10	2	3	5	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	9	3	0	+23	30
2	Ath Madrid	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+9	19
4	Valencia	11	5	2	4	+4	17
5	Villarreal	12	5	2	5	-4	17
6	Celta	12	5	1	6	+5	16
7	Girona	11	3	5	3	-3	14
8	Ath Bilbao	12	3	4	5	-3	13
9	Leganes	12	3	3	6	-3	12
10	Sevilla	12	4	0	8	-14	12
11	Sociedad	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Eibar	10	3	2	5	-13	11
13	Betis	10	3	1	6	-7	10
14	Levante	10	1	6	3	-6	9
15	Alaves	11	3	0	8	-8	9
16	Getafe	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Espanol	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	La Coruna	11	1	3	7	-20	6
19	Las Palmas	12	1	2	9	-23	5
20	Malaga	12	1	1	10	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.