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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Zwolle
S S U T S
1–1
Full-time
Utrecht
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,3
4,3
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 13/11 matches
Win Ø 55%
54%
55%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
38%
82%
Both score Ø 51%
46%
55%
Average goals
2,4
3,6
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 4. · Utrecht 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 12 0 1 +26 36
2 Ajax 13 9 1 3 +29 28
3 AZ Alkmaar 13 9 1 3 +7 28
4 Zwolle 13 7 4 2 +7 25
5 Feyenoord 13 6 4 3 +9 22
6 Utrecht 11 6 1 4 -2 19
7 Vitesse 11 5 3 3 +8 18
8 Heerenveen 12 5 3 4 -1 18
9 Heracles 13 5 3 5 -3 18
10 Den Haag 12 5 2 5 -1 17
11 Excelsior 13 5 2 6 -3 17
12 VVV Venlo 13 3 6 4 -4 15
13 Groningen 13 3 3 7 -5 12
14 Sparta Rotterdam 13 2 5 6 -11 11
15 Willem II 13 3 2 8 -12 11
16 Twente 13 3 0 10 -9 9
17 NAC Breda 13 2 3 8 -17 9
18 Roda 13 2 1 10 -18 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Utrecht
Dirk Marcellis 🟨
12′
16′
🟨 Urby Emanuelson
33′
S. van de Streek 0–1
Y. Ayoub
40′
🔁 G. Troupée
↦ R. Leeuwin
Half-time 0–1
56′
🟨 Sander van de Streek
T. Ondaan 🔁
↦ S. Nijland
61′
E. Bakker 🔁
↦ N. Freire
62′
80′
🔁 E. Braafheid
↦ U. Emanuelson
P. Parzyszek 🔁
↦ Y. Namli
81′
1–1 M. Saymak
83′
89′
🔁 L. Görtler
↦ G. Kerk
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 D. Boer G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
3 N. Freire D
6 M. Saymak M
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
10 S. Nijland M
7 Y. Mokhtar F
30 R. Thomas M
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (9)
11 T. Ondaan
23 E. Bakker
9 P. Parzyszek
8 W. Marinus
14 E. Israelsson
16 M. van der Hart
29 S. van Looy
35 S. Woudstra
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Utrecht

5-3-2
1 D. Jensen G
3 R. Leeuwin D
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
17 S. Klaiber D
18 U. Emanuelson M
10 Z. Labyad F
8 Y. Ayoub M
6 R. Strieder M
22 S. van de Streek M
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (9)
20 G. Troupée
28 E. Braafheid
27 L. Görtler
5 D. Dumić
11 C. Dessers
15 Robin van der Meer
25 O. Velanas
26 M. Willock
46 M. Heus

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.