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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

Zwolle

T U T T T

1–1

Full-time

Utrecht

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 4/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

25%

100%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

10 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 7

16 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zwolle 18. · Utrecht 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Den Haag	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Ajax	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Twente	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Heracles	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Nijmegen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Roda	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	Groningen	4	0	1	3	-8	1
18	Zwolle	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Den Haag	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Twente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Heracles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Ajax	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Roda	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Twente	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Roda	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Heracles	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nijmegen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Groningen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.