Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bordeaux
Amiens
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | +59 | 65 |
| 2 |
Marseille
|
25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +26 | 52 |
| 3 |
Monaco
|
24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | +30 | 50 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | +26 | 48 |
| 5 |
Nantes
|
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +0 | 37 |
| 6 |
Montpellier
|
24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | +2 | 34 |
| 7 |
Nice
|
24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 |
Bordeaux
|
24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 |
Guingamp
|
24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rennes
|
24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | -5 | 31 |
| 11 |
Caen
|
24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | -10 | 30 |
| 12 |
St Etienne
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 30 |
| 13 |
Dijon
|
23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 |
Strasbourg
|
24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Toulouse
|
25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 |
Angers
|
24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 |
Amiens
|
24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -7 | 25 |
| 18 |
Lille
|
24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | -16 | 25 |
| 19 |
Troyes
|
23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 24 |
| 20 |
Metz
|
24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -22 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Strasbourg
Bordeaux
Bordeaux
Lyon
Nantes
Bordeaux
Bordeaux
Caen
Troyes
Bordeaux
Benoît Bastien · 74 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.