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Eredivisie
Referee: Paulus van Boekel
Heracles
T T U U T
1–0
Full-time
Willem II
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 25%
27%
23%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
82%
73%
Both score Ø 77%
86%
68%
Average goals
3,7
3,4
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 12. · Willem II 14. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 22 19 1 2 +36 58
2 Ajax 22 16 3 3 +43 51
3 AZ Alkmaar 22 14 4 4 +21 46
4 Feyenoord 22 11 6 5 +23 39
5 Zwolle 22 11 6 5 +2 39
6 Utrecht 20 8 7 5 -2 31
7 Vitesse 19 8 6 5 +10 30
8 Heerenveen 21 8 6 7 -2 30
9 VVV Venlo 22 7 8 7 -5 29
10 Den Haag 20 8 4 8 -3 28
11 Excelsior 22 7 4 11 -7 25
12 Heracles 22 6 6 10 -17 24
13 Groningen 22 5 7 10 -5 22
14 Willem II 22 5 5 12 -13 20
15 NAC Breda 22 5 4 13 -14 19
16 Twente 22 4 4 14 -16 16
17 Roda 22 4 4 14 -24 16
18 Sparta Rotterdam 22 3 5 14 -27 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Dec -17 Willem II – Heracles 3–1 4. Feb -17 Willem II – Heracles 1–3 14. Aug -16 Heracles – Willem II 3–1 29. Jan -16 Willem II – Heracles 0–0 30. Oct -15 Heracles – Willem II 2–1

Match report

Heracles Willem II
Roland Baas 🟨
33′
1–0 V. Vermeij ⚽
B. Kuwas
45′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🟨 Bartholomew Ogbeche
M. Osman 🔁
↦ R. Niemeijer
64′
68′
🔁 F. Lewis
↦ T. Haye
75′
🟨 Freek Heerkens
78′
🔁 M. El Hankouri
↦ Chirivella
S. Jakubiak 🔁
↦ P. van Ooijen
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
3 D. Wuytens D
4 R. Pröpper D
22 R. Baas D
30 T. van de Berg D
20 P. van Ooijen M
35 Jamiro M
29 R. Niemeijer M
18 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
19 V. Vermeij F
Bench (10)
14 M. Osman
21 S. Jakubiak
9 P. Gladon
12 W. Droste
15 J. Navrátil
24 G. Agbaljan
25 Z. Erkilinc
26 H. Zeinstra
27 N. Leemhuis
28 M. Brouwer

Coach: J. Stegeman

Willem II

4-4-2
31 M. Branderhorst G
29 D. Lachman D
3 F. Heerkens D
25 T. Meißner D
21 K. Tsimikas D
23 B. Rienstra M
10 T. Haye M
6 Chirivella M
8 B. Ogbeche F
11 J. Croux F
9 Fran Sol F
Bench (10)
2 F. Lewis
19 M. El Hankouri
1 T. Wellenreuther
5 J. van der Linden
7 K. Coulibaly
20 E. Lieftink
32 E. Enoh
34 D. Dankerlui
51 K. Kristinsson
93 S. van der Lei

Coach: E. van de Looi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Paulus van Boekel · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.