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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Utrecht

S U S U T

1–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,7

This season — Eredivisie · 15/18 matches

Win Ø 57%

47%

67%

Points per game

1,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,9

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 7. · AZ Alkmaar 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	18	15	1	2	+28	46
2	Ajax	18	13	2	3	+37	41
3	AZ Alkmaar	18	12	2	4	+15	38
4	Zwolle	18	9	6	3	+5	33
5	Feyenoord	17	9	5	3	+21	32
6	Den Haag	17	8	2	7	-1	26
7	Utrecht	15	7	3	5	-3	24
8	Vitesse	16	6	5	5	+7	23
9	Heerenveen	17	6	5	6	-3	23
10	VVV Venlo	18	5	7	6	-4	22
11	Heracles	18	6	4	8	-11	22
12	Excelsior	18	6	3	9	-6	21
13	Groningen	18	5	5	8	+0	20
14	Willem II	18	4	4	10	-13	16
15	NAC Breda	18	4	4	10	-15	16
16	Twente	18	4	3	11	-9	15
17	Roda	18	3	2	13	-23	11
18	Sparta Rotterdam	18	2	5	11	-25	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	Ajax	9	7	0	2	+18	21
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	0	3	+9	21
4	Heracles	9	6	2	1	+6	20
5	Zwolle	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Groningen	10	4	4	2	+5	16
7	Feyenoord	9	4	3	2	+6	15
8	Den Haag	10	4	2	4	+1	14
9	Twente	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Utrecht	6	3	2	1	+0	11
11	NAC Breda	9	3	1	5	-10	10
12	VVV Venlo	10	2	3	5	-5	9
13	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-2	8
14	Roda	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Excelsior	10	2	2	6	-6	8
16	Heerenveen	8	2	2	4	-7	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	2	5	-11	8
18	Vitesse	6	1	3	2	+0	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+19	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	+11	19
3	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+15	17
4	Vitesse	10	5	2	3	+7	17
5	AZ Alkmaar	8	5	2	1	+6	17
6	Zwolle	10	4	4	2	-2	16
7	Heerenveen	9	4	3	2	+4	15
8	VVV Venlo	8	3	4	1	+1	13
9	Excelsior	8	4	1	3	+0	13
10	Utrecht	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Den Haag	7	4	0	3	-2	12
12	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-11	8
13	NAC Breda	9	1	3	5	-5	6
14	Groningen	8	1	1	6	-5	4
15	Twente	9	1	1	7	-9	4
16	Sparta Rotterdam	9	0	3	6	-14	3
17	Roda	10	1	0	9	-19	3
18	Heracles	9	0	2	7	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.