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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Zwolle
U S U S T
1–0
Full-time
NAC Breda
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 36%
50%
22%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
44%
61%
Both score Ø 59%
56%
61%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 4. · NAC Breda 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 18 15 1 2 +28 46
2 Ajax 18 13 2 3 +37 41
3 AZ Alkmaar 19 12 3 4 +15 39
4 Zwolle 18 9 6 3 +5 33
5 Feyenoord 17 9 5 3 +21 32
6 Den Haag 17 8 2 7 -1 26
7 Utrecht 16 7 4 5 -3 25
8 Vitesse 16 6 5 5 +7 23
9 Heerenveen 17 6 5 6 -3 23
10 VVV Venlo 18 5 7 6 -4 22
11 Heracles 18 6 4 8 -11 22
12 Excelsior 18 6 3 9 -6 21
13 Groningen 18 5 5 8 +0 20
14 Twente 19 4 4 11 -9 16
15 Willem II 18 4 4 10 -13 16
16 NAC Breda 18 4 4 10 -15 16
17 Roda 19 3 3 13 -23 12
18 Sparta Rotterdam 18 2 5 11 -25 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Oct -17 NAC Breda – Zwolle 0–2

Match report

Zwolle NAC Breda
1–0 Y. Mokhtar
M. Saymak
2′
Half-time 1–0
68′
🔁 Paolo Fernandes
↦ G. Korte
75′
🔁 K. Mets
↦ G. Nijholt
Philippe Sandler 🟨
78′
78′
🔁 R. Sprangers
↦ R. Vloet
S. Nijland 🔁
↦ T. Ondaan
79′
90′
🟨 Paolo Fernandes
W. Marinus 🔁
↦ Y. Namli
91′
E. Bakker 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 D. Boer G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
13 P. Sandler D
6 M. Saymak M
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
7 Y. Mokhtar F
30 R. Thomas M
11 T. Ondaan F
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (10)
10 S. Nijland
8 W. Marinus
23 E. Bakker
24 R. Ligeon
3 N. Freire
9 P. Parzyszek
14 E. Israelsson
16 M. van der Hart
28 R. Benschop
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. van 't Schip

NAC Breda

4-3-3
12 M. Birighitti G
22 Pablo Marí D
2 F. Sporkslede D
69 Angeliño D
18 B. Meijers D
30 G. Nijholt M
10 R. Vloet M
8 M. El Allouchi M
19 Manu García M
7 G. Korte F
9 T. Ambrose F
Bench (9)
11 Paolo Fernandes
5 K. Mets
45 R. Sprangers
6 A. Verschueren
26 K. Niemczycki
35 J. Horsfield
87 T. Enevoldsen
24 L. Schoofs
28 D. Snepvangers

Coach: S. Vreven

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.