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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Real Madrid

U T S S U

5–2

Full-time

Sociedad

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

Scored

2,5

2,2

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 42%

52%

32%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

71%

73%

Both score Ø 60%

52%

68%

Average goals

3,1

3,7

Scored

2,1

1,9

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

52% Possession 48%

18 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 4. · Sociedad 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	22	18	4	0	+49	58
2	Ath Madrid	23	15	7	1	+25	52
3	Valencia	22	12	4	6	+16	40
4	Real Madrid	21	11	6	4	+24	39
5	Villarreal	23	11	4	8	+6	37
6	Eibar	23	10	5	8	-2	35
7	Sevilla	22	10	3	9	-6	33
8	Celta	22	9	4	9	+7	31
9	Girona	22	8	7	7	+2	31
10	Betis	22	9	3	10	-8	30
11	Getafe	22	7	8	7	+5	29
12	Leganes	22	8	5	9	-2	29
13	Ath Bilbao	23	6	10	7	-1	28
14	Sociedad	22	7	5	10	+1	26
15	Espanol	22	6	7	9	-10	25
16	Alaves	23	8	1	14	-12	25
17	Levante	22	3	11	8	-12	20
18	Las Palmas	23	5	3	15	-33	18
19	La Coruna	22	4	5	13	-27	17
20	Malaga	23	3	4	16	-22	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+26	28
2	Ath Madrid	11	7	4	0	+11	25
3	Valencia	11	7	2	2	+12	23
4	Eibar	12	6	3	3	+10	21
5	Getafe	12	6	3	3	+9	21
6	Sevilla	10	6	3	1	+8	21
7	Real Madrid	11	6	2	3	+15	20
8	Villarreal	11	6	2	3	+10	20
9	Betis	12	6	2	4	-1	20
10	Espanol	12	5	3	4	+0	18
11	Girona	11	5	2	4	+5	17
12	Leganes	10	5	2	3	+1	17
13	Alaves	12	5	1	6	-4	16
14	Sociedad	12	4	3	5	+4	15
15	Celta	10	4	3	3	+2	15
16	Ath Bilbao	11	3	6	2	+2	15
17	Las Palmas	11	4	1	6	-10	13
18	Levante	12	2	5	5	-6	11
19	La Coruna	11	3	2	6	-7	11
20	Malaga	11	2	3	6	-7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	9	3	0	+23	30
2	Ath Madrid	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+9	19
4	Valencia	11	5	2	4	+4	17
5	Villarreal	12	5	2	5	-4	17
6	Celta	12	5	1	6	+5	16
7	Girona	11	3	5	3	-3	14
8	Eibar	11	4	2	5	-12	14
9	Ath Bilbao	12	3	4	5	-3	13
10	Leganes	12	3	3	6	-3	12
11	Sevilla	12	4	0	8	-14	12
12	Sociedad	10	3	2	5	-3	11
13	Betis	10	3	1	6	-7	10
14	Levante	10	1	6	3	-6	9
15	Alaves	11	3	0	8	-8	9
16	Getafe	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Espanol	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	La Coruna	11	1	3	7	-20	6
19	Las Palmas	12	1	2	9	-23	5
20	Malaga	12	1	1	10	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.