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Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Utrecht

U S T S T

3–1

Full-time

Zwolle

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 19/22 matches

Win Ø 35%

42%

27%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

42%

64%

Both score Ø 52%

53%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

20 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

6 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 8. · Zwolle 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	22	18	3	1	+46	57
2	Ajax	22	16	4	2	+32	52
3	PSV Eindhoven	23	15	7	1	+28	52
4	Twente	23	9	7	7	+2	34
5	Vitesse	22	9	6	7	+5	33
6	Heerenveen	21	9	5	7	+11	32
7	AZ Alkmaar	20	8	8	4	+7	32
8	Utrecht	19	8	6	5	+3	30
9	Heracles	23	7	7	9	-3	28
10	Willem II	22	6	7	9	-8	25
11	Nijmegen	23	6	7	10	-16	25
12	Groningen	21	5	8	8	-3	23
13	Zwolle	22	6	5	11	-20	23
14	Roda	23	3	11	9	-14	20
15	Go Ahead Eagles	23	5	4	14	-16	19
16	Excelsior	23	4	7	12	-19	19
17	Sparta Rotterdam	22	4	6	12	-12	18
18	Den Haag	22	5	2	15	-23	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	12	10	2	0	+29	32
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	3	1	+12	27
3	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+18	26
4	Twente	12	6	3	3	+5	21
5	Heerenveen	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Heracles	12	5	3	4	+5	18
7	Vitesse	11	5	2	4	+2	17
8	Nijmegen	11	4	4	3	+1	16
9	AZ Alkmaar	10	3	5	2	+2	14
10	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	+2	14
11	Excelsior	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Go Ahead Eagles	11	4	1	6	-3	13
13	Willem II	12	3	4	5	-6	13
14	Sparta Rotterdam	10	3	3	4	+0	12
15	Zwolle	12	3	3	6	-11	12
16	Roda	12	2	5	5	-4	11
17	Groningen	10	2	5	3	-6	11
18	Den Haag	10	3	1	6	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	8	2	1	+14	26
2	Feyenoord	10	8	1	1	+17	25
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	7	4	0	+16	25
4	AZ Alkmaar	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	Vitesse	11	4	4	3	+3	16
6	Utrecht	10	4	4	2	+1	16
7	Heerenveen	11	4	2	5	+5	14
8	Twente	11	3	4	4	-3	13
9	Groningen	11	3	3	5	+3	12
10	Willem II	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Zwolle	10	3	2	5	-9	11
12	Heracles	11	2	4	5	-8	10
13	Roda	11	1	6	4	-10	9
14	Nijmegen	12	2	3	7	-17	9
15	Den Haag	12	2	1	9	-17	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	12	1	3	8	-12	6
17	Go Ahead Eagles	12	1	3	8	-13	6
18	Excelsior	12	1	3	8	-18	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.