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Eliteserien

Referee: R Saggi

Molde

T T S S S

3–3

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 54%

61%

46%

Points per game

2,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

68%

61%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

64%

Average goals

3,6

2,9

Scored

2,3

1,6

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

22 Shots 17

11 Shots on target 10

6 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 2. · Lillestrom 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	28	17	8	3	+31	59
2	Molde	28	17	5	6	+29	56
3	Viking	28	15	6	7	+9	51
4	Lillestrom	28	13	6	9	+7	45
5	Rosenborg	28	12	8	8	+14	44
6	Kristiansund	28	13	4	11	-5	43
7	Valerenga	28	10	12	6	+8	42
8	Sarpsborg 08	28	11	6	11	-3	39
9	Haugesund	28	9	7	12	+2	34
10	Stromsgodset	28	9	7	12	+0	34
11	Sandefjord	28	9	6	13	-13	33
12	Tromso	28	7	11	10	-10	32
13	Odd	28	7	9	12	-14	30
14	Stabaek	28	6	7	15	-23	25
15	Mjondalen	28	4	10	14	-14	22
16	Brann	28	4	10	14	-18	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	14	11	1	2	+28	34
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	10	3	1	+21	33
3	Kristiansund	14	9	2	3	+10	29
4	Stromsgodset	14	8	3	3	+21	27
5	Rosenborg	14	8	3	3	+16	27
6	Haugesund	14	8	3	3	+14	27
7	Viking	14	8	3	3	+10	27
8	Valerenga	14	6	7	1	+11	25
9	Lillestrom	14	7	3	4	+8	24
10	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	5	3	+8	23
11	Sandefjord	14	5	5	4	+2	20
12	Odd	14	4	4	6	-1	16
13	Tromso	14	3	6	5	-3	15
14	Stabaek	14	4	3	7	-8	15
15	Brann	14	3	5	6	-5	14
16	Mjondalen	14	2	5	7	+0	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	14	7	5	2	+10	26
2	Viking	14	7	3	4	-1	24
3	Molde	14	6	4	4	+1	22
4	Lillestrom	14	6	3	5	-1	21
5	Rosenborg	14	4	5	5	-2	17
6	Valerenga	14	4	5	5	-3	17
7	Tromso	14	4	5	5	-7	17
8	Sarpsborg 08	14	5	1	8	-11	16
9	Odd	14	3	5	6	-13	14
10	Kristiansund	14	4	2	8	-15	14
11	Sandefjord	14	4	1	9	-15	13
12	Mjondalen	14	2	5	7	-14	11
13	Stabaek	14	2	4	8	-15	10
14	Brann	14	1	5	8	-13	8
15	Haugesund	14	1	4	9	-12	7
16	Stromsgodset	14	1	4	9	-21	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.