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Eliteserien

Referee: Tom Harald Hagen

Valerenga

T T S T S

5–1

Full-time

Aalesund

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

54%

42%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

58%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

56% Possession 44%

20 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

4 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 10. · Aalesund 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	25	16	6	3	+34	54
2	Sarpsborg 08	24	11	9	4	+9	42
3	Molde	24	12	5	7	+12	41
4	Brann	24	11	7	6	+17	40
5	Stromsgodset	25	10	8	7	+2	38
6	Haugesund	24	10	6	8	+1	36
7	Odd	25	10	5	10	-7	35
8	Sandefjord	24	10	3	11	-4	33
9	Stabaek	24	9	6	9	-6	33
10	Valerenga	24	8	6	10	-4	30
11	Kristiansund	24	7	8	9	-3	29
12	Lillestrom	24	7	7	10	-6	28
13	Sogndal	24	7	6	11	-7	27
14	Aalesund	24	6	7	11	-5	25
15	Tromso	25	6	7	12	-15	25
16	Viking	24	3	6	15	-18	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	13	8	3	2	+18	27
2	Stromsgodset	13	8	3	2	+10	27
3	Odd	12	8	2	2	+7	26
4	Sarpsborg 08	12	7	4	1	+13	25
5	Brann	12	7	3	2	+16	24
6	Sandefjord	12	7	2	3	+8	23
7	Molde	11	7	1	3	+11	22
8	Valerenga	12	6	4	2	+9	22
9	Kristiansund	12	5	6	1	+7	21
10	Haugesund	11	5	5	1	+5	20
11	Stabaek	13	6	2	5	+0	20
12	Sogndal	12	5	3	4	+5	18
13	Tromso	13	4	5	4	+1	17
14	Lillestrom	12	5	2	5	-1	17
15	Aalesund	12	4	3	5	+2	15
16	Viking	12	2	3	7	-5	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	12	8	3	1	+16	27
2	Molde	13	5	4	4	+1	19
3	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	5	3	-4	17
4	Brann	12	4	4	4	+1	16
5	Haugesund	13	5	1	7	-4	16
6	Stabaek	11	3	4	4	-6	13
7	Lillestrom	12	2	5	5	-5	11
8	Stromsgodset	12	2	5	5	-8	11
9	Aalesund	12	2	4	6	-7	10
10	Sandefjord	12	3	1	8	-12	10
11	Sogndal	12	2	3	7	-12	9
12	Odd	13	2	3	8	-14	9
13	Kristiansund	12	2	2	8	-10	8
14	Valerenga	12	2	2	8	-13	8
15	Tromso	12	2	2	8	-16	8
16	Viking	12	1	3	8	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.