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Eliteserien
Referee: K Hagenes
Aalesund
T S S S U
2–2
Full-time
Valerenga
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 8
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 7. · Valerenga 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 11 8 3 0 +16 27
2 Molde 11 8 1 2 +11 25
3 Viking 12 6 3 3 +9 21
4 Stromsgodset 11 5 2 4 -3 17
5 Sarpsborg 08 10 5 1 4 +10 16
6 Bodo/Glimt 10 4 4 2 +6 16
7 Aalesund 10 4 3 3 -1 15
8 Rosenborg 10 3 5 2 +3 14
9 Ham-Kam 10 2 6 2 +2 12
10 Sandefjord 9 4 0 5 -3 12
11 Tromso 10 2 6 2 -3 12
12 Odd 11 4 0 7 -7 12
13 Valerenga 10 3 1 6 -9 10
14 Haugesund 11 2 3 6 -6 9
15 Jerv 10 2 1 7 -14 7
16 Kristiansund 8 0 1 7 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Valerenga
1–0 S. Haugen
S. Nordli
37′
42′
🟨 Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Dønnum
↦ T. Ismaheel
61′
🔁 J. Eng
↦ H. Udahl
2–0 T. Kallevåg
67′
D. Čanađija 🔁
↦ K. Barmen
77′
81′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ O. Sahraoui
82′
J. Eng 2–1
F. Jensen
85′
I. Näsberg 2–2
V. Hedenstad
O. Solnørdal 🔁
↦ S. Nordli
86′
S. Rafn 🔁
↦ T. Kallevåg
86′
Simen Rafn 🟨
91′
Dario Čanađija 🟨
91′
92′
🟨 Petter Strand
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

5-4-1
1 S. Grytebust G
30 A. Andersen D
5 D. Fällman D
2 P. Golubović D
25 B. Šerbečić D
10 K. Barmen M
14 T. Kallevåg M
11 S. Nordli M
7 Nenass M
19 I. Määttä D
22 S. Haugen F
Bench (9)
27 D. Čanađija
20 O. Solnørdal
33 S. Rafn
13 M. Lansing
3 J. Moe
34 S. Holte
16 J. Hatlehol
18 N. Hopland
17 M. Diaw

Coach: L. Nilsen

Valerenga

4-3-3
1 K. Haug G
4 J. Nation D
6 V. Hedenstad D
5 L. Zuta D
22 I. Näsberg D
8 H. Bjørdal M
24 P. Strand M
14 H. Udahl F
17 T. Christensen M
10 O. Sahraoui F
18 T. Ismaheel F
Bench (9)
26 A. Dønnum
27 J. Eng
7 F. Jensen
23 Brynjar Bjarnason
20 M. Riisnæs
11 A. Layouni
16 M. Emilsen
19 S. Jatta
21 M. Sjøeng

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Hagenes · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.