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Eliteserien
Referee: M Lien
Valerenga
T U S T T
3–0
Full-time
Kristiansund
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,3
This season — Eliteserien · 12/10 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
0,9
0,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
50%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
24 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 14. · Kristiansund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 13 9 3 1 +15 30
2 Molde 13 8 3 2 +11 27
3 Bodo/Glimt 13 6 4 3 +10 22
4 Viking 14 6 4 4 +7 22
5 Stromsgodset 14 6 3 5 -1 21
6 Sarpsborg 08 13 6 1 6 +7 19
7 Aalesund 13 5 4 4 -2 19
8 Odd 14 6 1 7 -5 19
9 Rosenborg 12 4 6 2 +5 18
10 Ham-Kam 12 3 7 2 +3 16
11 Tromso 11 2 7 2 -3 13
12 Sandefjord 11 4 1 6 -4 13
13 Haugesund 13 3 3 7 -5 12
14 Valerenga 12 3 2 7 -10 11
15 Jerv 12 3 2 7 -13 11
16 Kristiansund 10 0 1 9 -15 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Kristiansund
Fredrik Jensen 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
H. Udahl 🔁
↦ S. Jatta
46′
1–0 H. Udahl
46′
2–0 A. Layouni
P. Strand
54′
63′
🔁 A. Askar
↦ J. Isaksen
63′
🔁 L. Kalludra
↦ B. Willumsson
J. Eng 🔁
↦ T. Christensen
69′
O. Holm 🔁
↦ A. Layouni
75′
78′
🔁 T. Gjertsen
↦ S. Kartum
3–0 H. Udahl
80′
M. Riisnæs 🔁
↦ O. Sahraoui
83′
88′
🔁 M. Weidel
↦ C. Aasbak
88′
🔁 D. Agbo
↦ B. Bye
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
21 M. Sjøeng G
4 J. Nation D
6 V. Hedenstad D
5 L. Zuta D
22 I. Näsberg D
7 F. Jensen M
24 P. Strand M
11 A. Layouni F
17 T. Christensen M
10 O. Sahraoui F
19 S. Jatta F
Bench (9)
14 H. Udahl
27 J. Eng
15 O. Holm
20 M. Riisnæs
3 B. Skaret
30 S. Strand-Kolbjørnsen
23 Brynjar Bjarnason
16 M. Emilsen
33 J. El-Abdellaoui

Coach: D. Fagermo

Kristiansund

3-5-2
30 M. Mbaye G
3 C. Aasbak M
6 A. Hopmark D
2 S. Nilsen
26 M. Williamsen D
21 A. Diop M
8 S. Kartum M
14 J. Isaksen M
18 S. Jarl D
13 B. Bye F
17 B. Willumsson F
Bench (8)
23 A. Askar
10 L. Kalludra
7 T. Gjertsen
38 M. Weidel
24 D. Agbo
1 S. McDermott
32 M. Alm
25 I. Annan

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.