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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Celta

U T S U S

2–0

Full-time

Ath Madrid

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,0

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

2,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 8

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Celta 7. · Ath Madrid 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Huesca	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Celta	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Villarreal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Betis	2	0	1	1	-3	1
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Valencia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Girona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Levante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Betis	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
3	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.