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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Eibar
S S T U U
0–2
Full-time
Ath Madrid
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 47%
69%
25%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 6
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 8. · Ath Madrid 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 16 12 4 0 +31 40
2 Barcelona 16 10 4 2 +25 34
3 Sevilla 16 10 3 3 +11 33
4 Villarreal 16 8 5 3 +14 29
5 Sociedad 16 9 2 5 +7 29
6 Ath Madrid 16 8 4 4 +15 28
7 Ath Bilbao 16 8 2 6 +3 26
8 Eibar 16 6 5 5 +2 23
9 Espanol 17 5 8 4 -2 23
10 Las Palmas 16 5 6 5 +2 21
11 Malaga 16 5 6 5 -1 21
12 Alaves 16 5 6 5 -2 21
13 Celta 16 6 3 7 -6 21
14 Betis 16 5 3 8 -11 18
15 La Coruna 17 4 5 8 -5 17
16 Leganes 16 4 4 8 -14 16
17 Valencia 15 3 3 9 -8 12
18 Sp Gijon 16 3 3 10 -16 12
19 Granada 17 1 6 10 -24 9
20 Osasuna 16 1 4 11 -21 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Ath Madrid
Adrián González 🟨
20′
29′
🟨 Šime Vrsaljko
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Juanfran
↦ Š. Vrsaljko
54′
Saúl 0–1
Filipe Luis
Bebé 🔁
↦ T. Inui
68′
71′
🔁 K. Gameiro
↦ Fernando Torres
74′
A. Griezmann 0–2
K. Gameiro
Rubén Peña 🔁
↦ Pedro León
76′
81′
🟨 Koke
Nano 🔁
↦ Adrián
82′
Bebé 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 Yoel G
15 M. Dos Santos D
20 F. Lejeune D
19 Luna D
7 Ander Capa D
8 T. Inui M
21 Pedro León M
24 Adrián M
16 Fran Rico M
14 Dani García M
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
25 Bebé
11 Rubén Peña
22 Nano
3 Alejandro Gálvez
5 G. Escalante
13 Asier Riesgo
23 Juncà

Coach: Mendilibar

Ath Madrid

4-1-4-1
1 Moyà G
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
16 Š. Vrsaljko D
15 S. Savić D
24 J. Giménez D
14 Gabi M
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
9 Fernando Torres F
7 A. Griezmann F
Bench (7)
20 Juanfran
21 K. Gameiro
11 Á. Correa
19 L. Hernández
23 N. Gaitán
25 André Moreira
39 Juan Moreno

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.