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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Ath Madrid

S S S U T

3–1

Full-time

Eibar

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

4,2

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

This season — La Liga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 55%

68%

41%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

27%

45%

Both score Ø 43%

27%

59%

Average goals

1,9

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

5 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Eibar 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	16	3	2	+37	51
2	Ath Madrid	22	15	3	4	+21	48
3	Real Madrid	22	14	5	3	+44	47
4	Villarreal	22	13	5	4	+11	44
5	Sevilla	22	10	6	6	+8	36
6	Ath Bilbao	22	10	4	8	+3	34
7	Celta	22	10	4	8	-2	34
8	Eibar	22	9	6	7	+7	33
9	La Coruna	22	6	12	4	+3	30
10	Malaga	23	8	6	9	+1	30
11	Getafe	23	7	5	11	-9	26
12	Valencia	22	5	10	7	+3	25
13	Sociedad	22	6	6	10	-8	24
14	Betis	22	5	7	10	-16	22
15	Espanol	22	6	4	12	-21	22
16	Las Palmas	22	5	6	11	-11	21
17	Sp Gijon	21	6	3	12	-12	21
18	Vallecano	22	5	5	12	-19	20
19	Granada	22	5	5	12	-20	20
20	Levante	22	4	5	13	-20	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	11	1	0	+32	34
2	Real Madrid	12	10	1	1	+35	31
3	Sevilla	12	10	0	2	+14	30
4	Villarreal	12	9	2	1	+11	29
5	Ath Madrid	10	7	2	1	+7	23
6	Getafe	12	6	3	3	+9	21
7	Eibar	12	6	3	3	+7	21
8	Ath Bilbao	10	6	2	2	+11	20
9	Malaga	11	5	3	3	+7	18
10	Las Palmas	12	5	3	4	+1	18
11	Celta	11	5	2	4	+0	17
12	Valencia	11	3	7	1	+6	16
13	Espanol	10	4	4	2	-2	16
14	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	+5	15
15	Sociedad	11	4	3	4	+0	15
16	Vallecano	11	4	2	5	-2	14
17	Levante	11	3	3	5	-5	12
18	Sp Gijon	9	3	2	4	+1	11
19	Granada	10	3	2	5	-7	11
20	Betis	10	1	4	5	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	12	8	1	3	+14	25
2	Barcelona	9	5	2	2	+5	17
3	Celta	11	5	2	4	-2	17
4	Real Madrid	10	4	4	2	+9	16
5	Villarreal	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	La Coruna	11	3	6	2	-2	15
7	Betis	12	4	3	5	-7	15
8	Ath Bilbao	12	4	2	6	-8	14
9	Eibar	10	3	3	4	+0	12
10	Malaga	12	3	3	6	-6	12
11	Sp Gijon	12	3	1	8	-13	10
12	Valencia	11	2	3	6	-3	9
13	Sociedad	11	2	3	6	-8	9
14	Granada	12	2	3	7	-13	9
15	Sevilla	10	0	6	4	-6	6
16	Vallecano	11	1	3	7	-17	6
17	Espanol	12	2	0	10	-19	6
18	Levante	11	1	2	8	-15	5
19	Getafe	11	1	2	8	-18	5
20	Las Palmas	10	0	3	7	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.