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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Eibar

S U S S S

0–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 53%

44%

61%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

72%

28%

Both score Ø 39%

44%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,9

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,7

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%

10 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 1

0 Offside 5

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eibar 7. · Ath Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	15	3	0	+41	48
2	Ath Madrid	18	11	6	1	+19	39
3	Valencia	18	11	4	3	+20	37
4	Real Madrid	18	9	5	4	+15	32
5	Villarreal	19	9	4	6	+5	31
6	Sevilla	18	9	2	7	-4	29
7	Eibar	18	8	3	7	-6	27
8	Getafe	19	7	5	7	+5	26
9	Girona	19	7	5	7	+0	26
10	Ath Bilbao	18	6	6	6	+1	24
11	Leganes	17	7	3	7	-1	24
12	Betis	18	7	3	8	-4	24
13	Sociedad	18	6	5	7	+1	23
14	Espanol	18	6	5	7	-6	23
15	Celta	18	6	4	8	+5	22
16	Levante	18	3	9	6	-10	18
17	La Coruna	18	4	4	10	-15	16
18	Alaves	18	5	0	13	-14	15
19	Malaga	19	3	2	14	-20	11
20	Las Palmas	19	3	2	14	-32	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+25	25
2	Valencia	10	7	2	1	+15	23
3	Sevilla	9	6	2	1	+8	20
4	Getafe	10	6	1	3	+9	19
5	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+7	18
6	Real Madrid	10	5	2	3	+9	17
7	Eibar	9	5	2	2	+7	17
8	Espanol	9	5	1	3	+3	16
9	Villarreal	8	4	2	2	+8	14
10	Girona	10	4	2	4	+3	14
11	Betis	9	4	2	3	+2	14
12	Leganes	8	4	2	2	+1	14
13	Ath Bilbao	9	3	4	2	+2	13
14	Sociedad	9	3	3	3	+2	12
15	Celta	9	3	3	3	+1	12
16	Levante	10	2	4	4	-5	10
17	La Coruna	9	3	1	5	-6	10
18	Alaves	9	3	0	6	-6	9
19	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8
20	Las Palmas	9	2	1	6	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	7	2	0	+16	23
2	Ath Madrid	10	6	3	1	+12	21
3	Villarreal	11	5	2	4	-3	17
4	Real Madrid	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Valencia	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Girona	9	3	3	3	-3	12
7	Ath Bilbao	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	Sociedad	9	3	2	4	-1	11
9	Celta	9	3	1	5	+4	10
10	Leganes	9	3	1	5	-2	10
11	Betis	9	3	1	5	-6	10
12	Eibar	9	3	1	5	-13	10
13	Sevilla	9	3	0	6	-12	9
14	Levante	8	1	5	2	-5	8
15	Getafe	9	1	4	4	-4	7
16	Espanol	9	1	4	4	-9	7
17	Alaves	9	2	0	7	-8	6
18	La Coruna	9	1	3	5	-9	6
19	Las Palmas	10	1	1	8	-20	4
20	Malaga	10	1	0	9	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.