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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Ath Madrid

U S S S T

4–2

Full-time

Malaga

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,7

1,5

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

56%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

33%

44%

Both score Ø 45%

33%

56%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

0,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,9

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 5

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ath Madrid 5. · Malaga 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	7	3	0	+18	24
2	Sevilla	10	6	3	1	+5	21
3	Barcelona	9	6	1	2	+17	19
4	Villarreal	9	5	4	0	+11	19
5	Ath Madrid	9	5	3	1	+17	18
6	Sociedad	10	5	1	4	+4	16
7	Ath Bilbao	9	5	0	4	+2	15
8	Celta	9	4	1	4	-4	13
9	Las Palmas	9	3	3	3	+2	12
10	Malaga	9	3	3	3	+2	12
11	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+1	12
12	Betis	9	3	2	4	-8	11
13	Alaves	10	2	4	4	-5	10
14	Leganes	10	3	1	6	-10	10
15	Valencia	9	3	0	6	-5	9
16	Sp Gijon	10	2	3	5	-11	9
17	Espanol	9	1	5	3	-5	8
18	La Coruna	9	2	2	5	-8	8
19	Osasuna	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Granada	9	0	3	6	-15	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	5	5	0	0	+6	15
2	Villarreal	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Real Madrid	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+12	10
5	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Malaga	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+3	9
8	Celta	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	Las Palmas	4	2	2	0	+5	8
10	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+7	7
11	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Sp Gijon	5	2	1	2	-4	7
13	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Alaves	5	1	3	1	-1	6
15	Betis	4	1	2	1	-4	5
16	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-4	3
17	Valencia	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Granada	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Osasuna	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+13	13
2	Barcelona	5	4	0	1	+10	12
3	Leganes	5	3	0	2	-2	9
4	Ath Madrid	5	2	2	1	+5	8
5	Villarreal	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Sociedad	5	2	0	3	+0	6
7	Valencia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Sevilla	5	1	3	1	-1	6
9	Ath Bilbao	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	Betis	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Eibar	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Espanol	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Las Palmas	5	1	1	3	-3	4
14	Osasuna	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Alaves	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Celta	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Sp Gijon	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	La Coruna	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Granada	4	0	1	3	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.