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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Ath Madrid

T S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Malaga

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,2

Scored

2,7

0,7

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 52%

74%

29%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

41%

29%

Both score Ø 35%

32%

38%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,9

Conceded

0,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Malaga 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	35	25	6	4	+72	81
2	Barcelona	34	25	4	5	+67	79
3	Ath Madrid	34	25	4	5	+42	79
4	Villarreal	34	17	9	8	+11	60
5	Ath Bilbao	34	16	6	12	+10	54
6	Celta	34	15	9	10	-7	54
7	Sevilla	34	13	10	11	+5	49
8	Valencia	34	11	10	13	+2	43
9	Las Palmas	35	12	7	16	-4	43
10	Malaga	34	10	12	12	+0	42
11	Sociedad	34	11	8	15	-4	41
12	Eibar	34	11	8	15	-8	41
13	Betis	34	10	11	13	-15	41
14	La Coruna	34	7	17	10	-14	38
15	Espanol	35	10	7	18	-32	37
16	Vallecano	35	8	11	16	-21	35
17	Granada	34	8	9	17	-23	33
18	Sp Gijon	34	8	8	18	-20	32
19	Getafe	34	8	7	19	-31	31
20	Levante	34	7	7	20	-30	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	15	1	2	+53	46
2	Barcelona	17	14	1	2	+42	43
3	Sevilla	17	13	1	3	+18	40
4	Ath Madrid	16	12	3	1	+22	39
5	Villarreal	17	12	3	2	+16	39
6	Ath Bilbao	17	9	4	4	+15	31
7	Las Palmas	18	8	4	6	+8	28
8	Eibar	17	8	3	6	+4	27
9	Celta	17	7	6	4	+2	27
10	Espanol	17	7	5	5	-9	26
11	Valencia	17	6	7	4	+5	25
12	Vallecano	18	7	4	7	-2	25
13	Malaga	17	6	6	5	+6	24
14	Getafe	17	6	5	6	+3	23
15	Sociedad	17	6	5	6	+2	23
16	Levante	17	6	4	7	-4	22
17	Betis	17	5	6	6	-5	21
18	Granada	17	5	5	7	-3	20
19	La Coruna	17	4	8	5	-5	20
20	Sp Gijon	17	5	4	8	-4	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	18	13	1	4	+20	40
2	Barcelona	17	11	3	3	+25	36
3	Real Madrid	17	10	5	2	+19	35
4	Celta	17	8	3	6	-9	27
5	Ath Bilbao	17	7	2	8	-5	23
6	Villarreal	17	5	6	6	-5	21
7	Betis	17	5	5	7	-10	20
8	Valencia	17	5	3	9	-3	18
9	Sociedad	17	5	3	9	-6	18
10	Malaga	17	4	6	7	-6	18
11	La Coruna	17	3	9	5	-9	18
12	Las Palmas	17	4	3	10	-12	15
13	Eibar	17	3	5	9	-12	14
14	Sp Gijon	17	3	4	10	-16	13
15	Granada	17	3	4	10	-20	13
16	Espanol	18	3	2	13	-23	11
17	Vallecano	17	1	7	9	-19	10
18	Sevilla	17	0	9	8	-13	9
19	Getafe	17	2	2	13	-34	8
20	Levante	17	1	3	13	-26	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.