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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Malaga

T T U U S

1–0

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 47%

20%

73%

Points per game

0,9

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

27%

Both score Ø 27%

20%

33%

Average goals

1,5

1,9

Scored

0,6

1,5

Conceded

0,9

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

17 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Malaga 16. · Ath Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	11	2	2	+21	35
2	Ath Madrid	15	11	2	2	+15	35
3	Real Madrid	16	10	3	3	+27	33
4	Celta	16	9	4	3	+6	31
5	Villarreal	16	9	3	4	+6	30
6	La Coruna	16	6	8	2	+9	26
7	Ath Bilbao	16	7	3	6	+6	24
8	Sevilla	16	6	5	5	+2	23
9	Valencia	16	5	7	4	+7	22
10	Eibar	16	5	6	5	+0	21
11	Betis	16	5	5	6	-6	20
12	Espanol	16	6	2	8	-10	20
13	Sociedad	16	4	4	8	-5	16
14	Getafe	16	4	4	8	-8	16
15	Sp Gijon	15	4	3	8	-8	15
16	Malaga	15	3	5	7	-5	14
17	Granada	16	3	5	8	-10	14
18	Vallecano	16	4	2	10	-19	14
19	Las Palmas	16	3	4	9	-11	13
20	Levante	16	2	5	9	-17	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	1	0	+17	22
2	Real Madrid	8	6	1	1	+18	19
3	Villarreal	8	6	1	1	+7	19
4	Ath Madrid	8	6	1	1	+6	19
5	Sevilla	8	6	0	2	+7	18
6	Ath Bilbao	8	5	1	2	+8	16
7	Getafe	8	4	2	2	+7	14
8	Valencia	8	3	5	0	+7	14
9	Celta	8	4	2	2	+2	14
10	Espanol	8	4	2	2	-2	14
11	La Coruna	8	3	4	1	+6	13
12	Eibar	8	3	3	2	+1	12
13	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Vallecano	8	3	1	4	-3	10
15	Malaga	7	2	3	2	+2	9
16	Sp Gijon	7	2	2	3	-2	8
17	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Betis	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Levante	8	1	3	4	-6	6
20	Granada	8	1	2	5	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	8	5	2	1	+4	17
2	Ath Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
3	Real Madrid	8	4	2	2	+9	14
4	Betis	8	4	2	2	-1	14
5	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	La Coruna	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	Villarreal	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Granada	8	2	3	3	-1	9
9	Eibar	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Valencia	8	2	2	4	+0	8
11	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-2	8
12	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-2	8
13	Sp Gijon	8	2	1	5	-6	7
14	Espanol	8	2	0	6	-8	6
15	Sevilla	8	0	5	3	-5	5
16	Malaga	8	1	2	5	-7	5
17	Levante	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Vallecano	8	1	1	6	-16	4
19	Las Palmas	8	0	2	6	-11	2
20	Getafe	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.