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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Ath Madrid
U S U S U
1–0
Full-time
Malaga
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,3
0,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
17 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
5 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 10. · Malaga 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 +10 12
2 Sociedad 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Ath Bilbao 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Levante 4 1 3 0 +1 6
6 Valencia 4 1 3 0 +1 6
7 Leganes 4 2 0 2 +0 6
8 Betis 4 2 0 2 -2 6
9 Eibar 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Ath Madrid 3 1 2 0 +4 5
11 Real Madrid 3 1 2 0 +3 5
12 Getafe 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Girona 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Celta 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Villarreal 3 1 0 2 -2 3
16 Las Palmas 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 La Coruna 4 0 1 3 -6 1
18 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -6 1
19 Malaga 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Alaves 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Malaga
Half-time 0–0
Y. Carrasco 🔁
↦ T. Partey
46′
1–0 A. Griezmann
Á. Correa
61′
Yannick Carrasco 🟨
64′
64′
🔁 J. Añor
↦ G. Castro
Fernando Torres 🔁
↦ Á. Correa
66′
70′
🔁 Keko
↦ E. Rolón
Juanfran 🟨
76′
85′
🔁 D. Rolan
↦ Álex Mula
88′
🟨 Keko
90′
🟨 Recio
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
20 Juanfran D
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
19 L. Hernández D
14 Gabi M
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
5 T. Partey M
7 A. Griezmann F
11 Á. Correa M
Bench (7)
10 Y. Carrasco
9 Fernando Torres
1 Moyà
15 S. Savić
17 L. Vietto
21 K. Gameiro
22 N. Gaitán

Coach: D. Simeone

Malaga

4-2-3-1
1 Roberto Jiménez G
18 R. Rosales D
4 Luis Hernández D
3 Diego González D
15 F. Ricca D
11 G. Castro M
8 Adrián M
14 Recio M
5 E. Rolón M
9 Borja Bastón F
28 Álex Mula M
Bench (7)
10 J. Añor
20 Keko
24 D. Rolan
6 Z. Kuzmanović
12 Cifuentes
22 P. Baysse
25 Andrés Prieto

Coach: Míchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.