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La Liga

Referee: David Medie Jimenez

Eibar

U S S S T

1–1

Full-time

Malaga

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,7

1,2

Scored

1,8

0,3

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 29%

42%

16%

Points per game

1,4

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

68%

32%

Both score Ø 34%

42%

26%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%

15 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 7

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Eibar 10. · Malaga 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	20	17	3	0	+48	54
2	Ath Madrid	20	12	7	1	+20	43
3	Valencia	20	12	4	4	+20	40
4	Real Madrid	19	10	5	4	+21	35
5	Villarreal	20	10	4	6	+6	34
6	Sevilla	20	10	2	8	-2	32
7	Celta	20	8	4	8	+7	28
8	Getafe	20	7	6	7	+5	27
9	Girona	20	7	6	7	+0	27
10	Eibar	19	8	3	8	-7	27
11	Betis	20	8	3	9	-8	27
12	Ath Bilbao	20	6	8	6	+1	26
13	Leganes	19	7	4	8	-2	25
14	Espanol	20	6	6	8	-9	24
15	Sociedad	20	6	5	9	-2	23
16	Alaves	20	6	1	13	-13	19
17	Levante	20	3	9	8	-12	18
18	La Coruna	20	4	4	12	-22	16
19	Las Palmas	20	4	2	14	-31	14
20	Malaga	19	3	2	14	-20	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+25	25
2	Valencia	10	7	2	1	+15	23
3	Real Madrid	11	6	2	3	+15	20
4	Getafe	11	6	2	3	+9	20
5	Sevilla	9	6	2	1	+8	20
6	Ath Madrid	9	5	4	0	+7	19
7	Villarreal	9	5	2	2	+9	17
8	Eibar	10	5	2	3	+6	17
9	Espanol	11	5	2	4	+0	17
10	Betis	11	5	2	4	-2	17
11	Girona	10	4	2	4	+3	14
12	Leganes	8	4	2	2	+1	14
13	Ath Bilbao	9	3	4	2	+2	13
14	Alaves	11	4	1	6	-5	13
15	Celta	9	3	3	3	+1	12
16	Sociedad	11	3	3	5	-1	12
17	Levante	11	2	4	5	-6	10
18	La Coruna	10	3	1	6	-7	10
19	Las Palmas	10	3	1	6	-11	10
20	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	9	2	0	+23	29
2	Ath Madrid	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	Valencia	10	5	2	3	+5	17
4	Villarreal	11	5	2	4	-3	17
5	Celta	11	5	1	5	+6	16
6	Real Madrid	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Ath Bilbao	11	3	4	4	-1	13
8	Girona	10	3	4	3	-3	13
9	Sevilla	11	4	0	7	-10	12
10	Sociedad	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Leganes	11	3	2	6	-3	11
12	Betis	9	3	1	5	-6	10
13	Eibar	9	3	1	5	-13	10
14	Levante	9	1	5	3	-6	8
15	Getafe	9	1	4	4	-4	7
16	Espanol	9	1	4	4	-9	7
17	Alaves	9	2	0	7	-8	6
18	La Coruna	10	1	3	6	-15	6
19	Las Palmas	10	1	1	8	-20	4
20	Malaga	10	1	0	9	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.