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Bundesliga

Referee: Harm Osmers

Hoffenheim

T S T S T

1–1

Full-time

Dortmund

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

2,3

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

17 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

6 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hoffenheim 11. · Dortmund 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Wolfsburg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Hertha	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	M'gladbach	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	RB Leipzig	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Hannover	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Nurnberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Stuttgart	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Freiburg	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Leverkusen	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Augsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Freiburg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hertha	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.