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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Real Madrid

U S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Espanol

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

3,2

1,7

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

2,8

1,3

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

19 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 3

4 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Espanol 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Alaves	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Celta	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Ath Madrid	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Getafe	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Eibar	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Girona	4	2	1	1	-1	7
11	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Betis	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Levante	4	1	1	2	+1	4
14	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Villarreal	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Valladolid	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Valencia	4	0	3	1	-2	3
19	Vallecano	4	1	0	3	-7	3
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Celta	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Huesca	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
2	Alaves	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Ath Madrid	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Huesca	3	1	1	1	-5	4
8	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Celta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Valladolid	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.