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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Zwayer
Augsburg
T T S U T
2–3
Full-time
Werder Bremen
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

49% Possession 51%
21 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 4
5 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 9. · Werder Bremen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Wolfsburg 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Hertha 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 M'gladbach 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Mainz 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Werder Bremen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 1 2 1 +0 5
9 Augsburg 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 RB Leipzig 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 -1 3
12 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 0 2 -1 3
13 Hannover 3 0 2 1 -1 2
14 Nurnberg 3 0 2 1 -1 2
15 Stuttgart 4 0 2 2 -4 2
16 Freiburg 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Schalke 04 3 0 0 3 -4 0
18 Leverkusen 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Werder Bremen
Daniel Baier 🟨
5′
34′
M. Kruse 0–1
F. Kainz
36′
M. Eggestein 0–2
C. Pizarro
André Hahn 🟨
39′
Caiuby 🔁
↦ M. Richter
42′
Half-time 1–2
1–2 P. Max
A. Hahn
47′
2–2 Koo Ja-Cheol
Caiuby
48′
J. Morávek 🔁
↦ Koo Ja-Cheol
67′
69′
🔁 M. Harnik
↦ C. Pizarro
75′
D. Klaassen 2–3
S. Córdova 🔁
↦ R. Khedira
81′
83′
🔁 K. Möhwald
↦ F. Kainz
87′
🔁 J. Eggestein
↦ M. Kruse
90′
🟨 Jiří Pavlenka
90′
🟨 Martin Harnik
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Augsburg

3-4-3
13 F. Giefer G
36 M. Hinteregger D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
32 R. Framberger D
10 D. Baier M
28 A. Hahn F
19 Koo Ja-Cheol M
11 M. Gregoritsch M
8 R. Khedira M
23 M. Richter M
Bench (7)
30 Caiuby
14 J. Morávek
21 S. Córdova
4 F. Götze
17 J. Schmid
38 K. Danso
39 B. Leneis

Coach: M. Baum

Werder Bremen

4-3-3
1 J. Pavlenka G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
13 M. Veljkovic D
44 P. Bargfrede M
7 F. Kainz F
30 D. Klaassen M
35 M. Eggestein M
4 C. Pizarro F
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
9 M. Harnik
6 K. Möhwald
24 J. Eggestein
11 M. Rashica
17 N. Şahin
32 M. Friedl
40 L. Plogmann

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Zwayer · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.